Skip to main content

Polynomial Pipelined Neural Network and Its Application to Financial Time Series Prediction

  • Conference paper
Book cover AI 2006: Advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI 2006)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 4304))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

A novel type of higher order pipelined neural network, the polynomial pipelined neural network, is presented. The network is constructed from a number of higher order neural networks concatenated with each other to predict highly nonlinear and nonstationary signals based on the engineering concept of divide and conquer. It is evaluated in financial time series application to predict the exchange rate between the US Dollar and 3 other currencies. The network demonstrates more accurate forecasting and an improvement in the signal to noise ratio over a number of benchmarked neural network.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Wilson, R., Sharda, R.: Bankruptcy prediction using neural networks. Decision Support Systems 11, 545–557 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Refenes, A.N., Azema-Barac, M., Chen, L., Karoussos, S.A.: Currency exchange rate and neural networks design strategies. Neural Computing and Application 1(1), 46–58 (1993)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Brown, R.G.: Smoothing, forecasting and prediction of discrete time series. Prentice-Hall, New Jersey (1963)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Hanke, J.E., Reitsch, A.G.: Business forecasting. Allyn and Bacon, London (1989)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Pham, D.T.: Neural networks for identification, prediction and control. Springer, London (1995)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Versace, M., Bhatt, R., Hinds, O., Shiffer, M.: Predicting the exchange traded fund DIA with a combination of genetic algorithms and neural networks. Expert systems with applications 27, 417–425 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Ghosh, J., Shin, Y.: Efficient higher-order neural networks for classification and function approximation. International Journal of Neural Systems 3(4), 323–350 (1992)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Hussain, A., Liatsis, P.: Recurrent Pi-Sigma neural network for DPCM image coding. Neurocomputing 55, 363–382 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Kuan, C.M.: Estimation of neural network models, PhD thesis, University of California, San Diego, USA (1989)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Haykin, S., Li, L.: Nonlinear adaptive prediction of nonstationary signals. IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing 43(2), 526–535 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Williams, R.J., Zipser, D.: A learning algorithm for continually running fully recurrent neural networks. Neural Computation 1, 270–280 (1989)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Masters, T.: Practical neural network recipes in C++. Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Riedmiller, M., Braun, H.: A direct adaptive method or faster backpropagation learning. In: Proc. of the IEEE Intl. Conf. on Neural Networks, San Francisco, USA, pp. 586–591 (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Odam, M.D., Sharda, R.: A neural network model for bankruptcy prediction. In: Proceedings of the IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, San Diego, CA, vol. 2, pp. 163–168 (1990)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Ginzburg, I., Horn, D.: Combined neural networks for time series analysis. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems Sci- Systems 6, 224–231 (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Dunis, C., Williams, M.: Modelling and trading the EUR/USD exchange rate: Do neural network models perform better? Derivatives Use, Trading and Regulation 8(3), 211–239

    Google Scholar 

  17. Cao, L., Tay, F.E.H.: Financial Forecasting Using Vector Machines. Neural Computing and Application 10, 184–192 (2001)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  18. Abecasis, S.M., Lapenta, E.S.: Modeling multivariate time series with neural networks: comparison with regression analysis. In: Proceeding of the INFONOR 1996: IX International Symposium in Informatic Applications, Antofagasta, Chile, pp. 18–22 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Cheng, W., Wanger, L., Lin, C.H.: Forecasting the 30-year US treasury bond with a system of neural networks. J. Computational Intelligence in Finance 4, 10–16 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Sharda, R., Patil, R.B.: A connectionist approach to time series prediction: an empirical test. Neural Networks in Finance Investing, 451–464 (1993)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Van, E., Robert, J.: The application of neural networks in forecasting of share prices. Finance and Technology Publishing, Haymarket (1997)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2006 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Hussain, A.J., Knowles, A., Lisboa, P., El-Deredy, W., Al-Jumeily, D. (2006). Polynomial Pipelined Neural Network and Its Application to Financial Time Series Prediction. In: Sattar, A., Kang, Bh. (eds) AI 2006: Advances in Artificial Intelligence. AI 2006. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 4304. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/11941439_64

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/11941439_64

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-49787-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-49788-2

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics