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Complex Dynamics and Financial Fragility in an Agent Based Model

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Computational Science and Its Applications — ICCSA 2003 (ICCSA 2003)

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Abstract

In this paper, we model an agent-based economy in which heterogeneous agents (firms and a bank) interact in the financial markets. The heterogeneity is due to the balance sheet conditions and to size. In our simulations, at the aggregate level, output displays changes in trend and volatility giving rise to complex dynamics. The average solvency and liquidity ratios peak during recessions as empirical analysis shows. At the firm level the model generates: i) firm sizes left-skewed distributed, ii) growth rates Laplace distributed. Furthermore, small idiosyncratic shocks can generate large aggregate fluctuations.

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Gallegati, M., Giulioni, G., Kichiji, N. (2003). Complex Dynamics and Financial Fragility in an Agent Based Model. In: Kumar, V., Gavrilova, M.L., Tan, C.J.K., L’Ecuyer, P. (eds) Computational Science and Its Applications — ICCSA 2003. ICCSA 2003. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 2667. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-44839-X_81

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-44839-X_81

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-40155-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-44839-6

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