Skip to main content

Precipitation Prediction Based on KPCA Support Vector Machine Optimization

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
  • 613 Accesses

Abstract

In this paper, kernel principle component analysis (KPCA) is employed to extract the features of multiple precipitation factors. The extracted principle components are considered as the characteristic vector of support vector machine (SVM) to build the SVM precipitation forecast model. We calculate the SVM parameters using particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm, and build the cooperative model of KPCA and the SVM with PSO to predict the precipitation in Guangxi province. The simulation results show that the prediction outcome, resulting from the combination of KPCA and the SVM with PSO, is consistent with the actual precipitation. Comparisons with other models also demonstrate that our model has advantages in fitting and generalizing in comparison other models.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   44.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   59.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Toda, Y., Abe, F.: Prediction of precipitation sequences within grains in 18Cr-8Ni austenitic steel by using system free energy method. ISIJ Int. 49(3), 439–445 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Ouyang, Q., Wenxi, L., Dong, H., et al.: Study on precipitation prediction based on SVM regression analysis. Water-Saving Irrig. 9, 38–41 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Ni, Y.: Study on Donggang precipitation prediction model based on SVM. Water Conservancy 2, 133–134 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Teng, W., Shanxian, Y., Bo, H., et al.: Application research of SVM regression in flood and drought prediction in flood season. J. Zhejiang Univ. (Science) 35(3), 343–347 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Yang, L., Xiwen, L., Liu, P., et al.: Time sequence analysis and the application of Monte Carlo in precipitation prediction. Environ. Sci. Technol. 34(5), 108–112 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Sun, M., Kong, X., Geng, W., et al.: Time sequence analysis on shandong monthly precipitation based on ARIMA model. J. Ludong Univ. (Natural Science) 29(3), 244–249 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Zhou, Z., Xie, B.: Application of BP neural net in Zhenzhou drought prediction and strategies of disaster reduction and prevention. Chin. Rural Water Conservancy Hydroelectricity 12, 97 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Tao, W., Hui, Q., Li, P., et al.: Application of weighting Markov chain in precipitation prediction of Yinchuan area. South-to-North Water Divers. Water Sci. Technol. 8(1), 78–81 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Liu, D., Fu, W.: Prediction test of least squares SVM in precipitation of flood season. In: The 33rd Annual Meeting of Chinese Meteorological Society S1 Supervision, Analysis and Prediction of Disaster Whether. Publishing House, Xi’an, pp. 929–934 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Gao, X.: Kernel feature extraction method and its application research. Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Luo, F., Jiansheng, W., Jin, L.: Integrated precipitation prediction model based on least squares SVM. J. Tropic. Meteorol. 27(3), 577–584 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Luo, F.: Optimize RBF neural net precipitation prediction model based on LLE. Comput. Digit. Eng. 41(5), 749–752 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  13. He, X., Wang, Y., Wen, B.: Quantitative research on special engineering costs based on PSO SVM. Electricity Grid Clean Energy 31(12), 27–30 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Li, T., Zeng, X.: Simulation of flow and sediment of yanhe basin based on PSO SVM. J. Basis Sci. Eng. 23(7), 79–87 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Meng, J.: Study on long-term precipitation prediction model for arid region based on PSO-LSSVM. J. Yangtze River Sci. Res. Inst. 10, 36–40 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Guodong Wang .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2019 ICST Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Luo, F., Wang, G., Zhang, Y. (2019). Precipitation Prediction Based on KPCA Support Vector Machine Optimization. In: Liu, S., Yang, G. (eds) Advanced Hybrid Information Processing. ADHIP 2018. Lecture Notes of the Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering, vol 279. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-19086-6_42

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-19086-6_42

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-19085-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-19086-6

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics