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An Innovative Model Based on FCRBM for Load Forecasting in the Smart Grid

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Abstract

In this paper, an efficient model based on factored conditional restricted boltzmann machine (FCRBM) is proposed for electric load forecasting of in smart grid (SG). This FCRBM has deep layers structure and uses rectified linear unit (RELU) function and multivariate autoregressive algorithm for training. The proposed model predicts day ahead and week ahead electric load for decision making of the SG. The proposed model is a hybrid model having four modules i.e., data processing and features selection module, FCRBM based forecaster module, GWDO (genetic wind driven optimization) algorithm-based optimizer module, and utilization module. The proposed model is examined using FE grid data of USA. The proposed model provides more accurate results with affordable execution time than other load forecasting models, i.e., mutual information, modified enhanced differential evolution algorithm, and artificial neural network (ANN) based model (MI-mEDE-ANN), accurate fast converging short term load forecasting model (AFC-STLF), Bi-level model, and features selection and ANN-based model (FS-ANN).

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Correspondence to Nadeem Javaid .

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Hafeez, G., Javaid, N., Riaz, M., Umar, K., Iqbal, Z., Ali, A. (2020). An Innovative Model Based on FCRBM for Load Forecasting in the Smart Grid. In: Barolli, L., Xhafa, F., Hussain, O. (eds) Innovative Mobile and Internet Services in Ubiquitous Computing . IMIS 2019. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 994. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22263-5_5

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