Skip to main content

Vehicle Warranty Claim Prediction from Diagnostic Data Using Classification

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 1043))

Abstract

This paper presents an approach to predict warranty repair claims on automotive units based on joint on-board diagnostic and historic warranty repair data. The problem is framed as binary classification, facilitating the applicability of a variety of machine learning techniques. The approach allows automotive manufacturers to make better use of the operational and failure data collected from the field, allowing for better spend forecast and more targeted vehicle health management interventions and campaigns. The research evaluates the performance of Support Vector Machines, Random Forests and Decision Trees on the data set thus obtained is evaluated and the results are presented, highlighting the importance of hyper-parameter tuning for the problem considered. It is shown that the modelling methods employed demonstrate comparable performance, however the Decision Tree approach seems to perform the most consistently across the various target failure codes considered at this time.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Abdelgayed, T.S., Morsi, W.G., Sidhu, T.S.: Fault detection and classification based on co-training of semisupervised machine learning. IEEE Trans. Ind. Electron. 65(2), 1595–1605 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1109/TIE.2017.2726961

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Bergstra, J., Bengio, Y.: Random search for hyperparameter optimization. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 13, 281–305 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1162/153244303322533223

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. Breiman, L.: Random forests. Mach. Learn. 45(1), 5–32 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Breiman, L., Friedman, J.H., Olshen, R.A., Stone, C.J.: Classification and Regression Trees, p. 432. Wadsworth International Group, Belmont (1984)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Cawley, G.C., Talbot, N.L.: On over-fitting in model selection and subsequent selection bias in performance evaluation. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 11, 2079–2107 (2010)

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  6. Chang, C.C., Lin, C.J.: LIBSVM: a library for support vector machines. ACM Trans. Intell. Syst. Technol. 2, 27:1–27:27 (2011). Software http://www.csie.ntu.edu.tw/~cjlin/libsvm

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Chinchor, N.: MUC-4 evaluation metrics. In: Proceedings of the 4th Conference on Message Understanding, pp. 22–29. Association for Computational Linguistics (1992)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Fan, Y., Nowaczyk, S., Rögnvaldsson, T.S.: Incorporating expert knowledge into a self-organized approach for predicting compressor faults in a city bus fleet. In: SCAI, pp. 58–67 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Horváth, T., Mantovani, R.G., de Carvalho, A.C.: Effects of random sampling on SVM hyper-parameter tuning. In: International Conference on Intelligent Systems Design and Applications, pp. 268–278. Springer (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Luo, B., Wang, H., Liu, H., Li, B., Peng, F.: Early fault detection of machine tools based on deep learning and dynamic identification. IEEE Trans. Ind. Electron. 66(1), 509–518 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1109/TIE.2018.2807414

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Mathew, J., Pang, C.K., Luo, M., Leong, W.H.: Classification of imbalanced data by oversampling in kernel space of support vector machines. IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. Learn. Syst. 29(9), 4065–4076 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1109/TNNLS.2017.2751612

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Nowaczyk, S., Prytz, R., Rögnvaldsson, T., Byttner, S.: Towards a machine learning algorithm for predicting truck compressor failures using logged vehicle data. Front. Artif. Intell. Appl. 257, 205–214 (2013). https://doi.org/10.3233/978-1-61499-330-8-205

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Prytz, R., Nowaczyk, S., Rögnvaldsson, T., Byttner, S.: Predicting the need for vehicle compressor repairs using maintenance records and logged vehicle data. Eng. Appl. Artif. Intell. 41, 139–150 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2015.02.009

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Rögnvaldsson, T., Nowaczyk, S., Byttner, S., Prytz, R., Svensson, M.: Self-monitoring for maintenance of vehicle fleets (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-017-0538-6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Shafi, U., Safi, A., Shahid, A.R., Ziauddin, S., Saleem, M.Q.: Vehicle remote health monitoring and prognostic maintenance system. J. Adv. Transp. 2018 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/8061514

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The research presented in this paper is funded by the Intelligent Personalised Powertrain Health Care research project, in collaboration with Jaguar Land Rover. The authors would like to thank the anonymous reviewers for their valuable feedback.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Denis Torgunov .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Torgunov, D., Trundle, P., Campean, F., Neagu, D., Sherratt, A. (2020). Vehicle Warranty Claim Prediction from Diagnostic Data Using Classification. In: Ju, Z., Yang, L., Yang, C., Gegov, A., Zhou, D. (eds) Advances in Computational Intelligence Systems. UKCI 2019. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1043. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-29933-0_40

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics