Abstract
In the future power system called Smart Grid, power generators using renewable energies will be widely introduced to the power grid and required to balance supply and demand on the grid quickly. Therefore, fast automated demand response (FastADR) that contributes to balance the power grid from demand side through electrical facilities like building air conditioner are focused recently. When electric grid operator will pay incentive to aggregators of the demand side, it is important to estimate accurate baseline load. However, the FastADR must returns quick response by unit of seconds or minute (fine-granularity), therefore it is difficult to estimate baseline load accurately using conventional method. In this research, the baseline load estimation model for air-con time-series data is constructed using long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network, and compared with multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural network model for baseline load estimation. The training and evaluating time-series data is generated by air-con simulator (AE) carried out on the virtual building. In the estimation results using data that were simulated for a month, the average estimation error of the LSTM model is 2.7% and of the MLP model is 5.3%. Therefore, the LSTM model is more effective for baseline estimation than the MLP model. However, data in various situations are required.
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Matsukawa, S., Suzuki, K., Ninagawa, C., Morikawa, J., Kondo, S. (2020). LSTM Neural Network for Fine-Granularity Estimation on Baseline Load of Fast Demand Response. In: Iliadis, L., Angelov, P., Jayne, C., Pimenidis, E. (eds) Proceedings of the 21st EANN (Engineering Applications of Neural Networks) 2020 Conference. EANN 2020. Proceedings of the International Neural Networks Society, vol 2. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-48791-1_9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-48791-1_9
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