Skip to main content

A Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Method Based on Support Vector Regression Optimized by Genetic Algorithm

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
  • 847 Accesses

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNSC,volume 12488))

Abstract

This paper uses support vector regression to predict short-term traffic flow, and studies the feasibility of support vector regression in short-term traffic flow prediction. The short-time traffic flow has many influencing factors, which are characterized by nonlinearity, randomness and periodicity. Therefore, support vector regression algorithm has advantages in dealing with such problems. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of the support vector regression, this paper uses genetic algorithm to optimize the support vector regression and other parameters to obtain the global optimal solution. The optimal parameters are used to construct the support vector regression prediction model. This paper selects the traffic flow data of the California Department of Transportation (PEMS) database to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the model proposed in this paper.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Xu, D., Wang, Y., Peng, P., et al.: Real-time road traffic state prediction based on kernel-KNN. J. Transp. A-Transp. Sci. 16(1), 104–118 (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Mehta, R., Vazirani, V.V.: An incentive compatible, efficient market for air traffic flow management. J. Theor. Comput. Sci. 818, 41–50 (2018)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  3. Xu, H., Jiang, C.: Deep belief network-based support vector regression method for traffic flow forecasting. J. Neural Comput. Appl. 32(7), 2027–2036 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Guo, M., Xiao, X., Lan, J.: A summary of the short-time traffic forecasting methods. J. Tech. Autom. Appl. 28(6), 8–9 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Okutani, I., Stephanedes, Y.J.: Dynamic prediction of traffic volume through Kalman filtering theory. J. Transp. Res. Part B Methodol. 18(1), 1–11 (1984)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Ahmaed, M.S., Cook, A.R.: Analysis of freeway traffic time-series data by using Box-Jenkins technique. J. Transp. Res. Rec. 722, 1–9 (1979)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Smith, B.L., Demetsky, M.J.: Short-term traffic flow prediction: neural network approach. J. Transp. Res. Rec. 98–104 (1984)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Moazenzadeh, R., Mohammadi, B., Shamshirband, S., Chau, K.W.: Coupling a firefly algorithm with support vector regression to predict evaporation in northern Iran. J. Eng. Appl. Comput. Fluid Mech. 12(1), 584–597 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Shi, H., Xu, M., Li, R.: Deep learning for household load forecasting-a novel pooling deep RNN. J. IEEE Trans. Smart Grid 9(5), 5271–5280 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Son, B., Kim, J.W., Lee, D., Jung, S.Y.: Genetic algorithm with species differentiation based on kernel support vector machine for optimal design of wind generator. IEEE Trans. Magn. 55(9), 1–4 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Sukawattanavijit, C., Chen, J., Zhang, H.S.: GA-SVM algorithm for improving land-cover classification using SAR and optical remote sensing data. IEEE Geosci. Remote Sens. Lett. 14(3), 284–288 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Vapnik, V.N.: Statistical learning theory. In: Encyclopedia of the Sciences of Learning, vol. 41, no. 4, p. 3185 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Abdulhai, B., Porwal, H., Recker, W.: Short-term traffic flow prediction using neuro-genetic algorithms. Intell. Transp. Syst. J. 7(1), 3–41 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Liu, Z., Du, W., Yan, D., et al.: Short-term traffic flow forecasting based on combination of K-nearest neighbor and support vector regression. J. Highw. Transp. Res. Dev. (Engl. Ed.) 12(1), 89–96 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Tian, Y., Pan, L.: Predicting short-term traffic flow by long short-term memory recurrent neural network. In: 2015 IEEE International Conference on Smart City (Smart City), Chengdu, pp. 153–158. IEEE Press (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Zhang, Y.J., Wang, M., et al.: Research on adaptive beacon message broadcasting cycle based on vehicle driving stability. Int. J. Netw. Manag. Spec. Issue Paper (2020)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Yuejin Zhang .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Zhan, A., Du, F., Yin, G., Wang, M., Zhang, Y. (2020). A Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Method Based on Support Vector Regression Optimized by Genetic Algorithm. In: Chen, X., Yan, H., Yan, Q., Zhang, X. (eds) Machine Learning for Cyber Security. ML4CS 2020. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 12488. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-62463-7_12

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-62463-7_12

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-62462-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-62463-7

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics