Abstract
High housing price and insufficient housing supply are the prominent problems facing the first-tier cities in China. And the affected factors of urban housing demand are so much, the stable housing market is so important in the process of urban development. This paper establishes a housing demand model to simulate and forecast the increased housing demand of residents in Shenzhen from 2021 to 2025 based on the housing, population, economy and human settlement survey over the years. The study found that, there will increase the demand of 1.2 million housing sets in the next five years, the current imbalance between housing supply and demand will still exist obviously in Shenzhen. So we need to standardize the development of housing rental market, vigorously develop public housing, in order to effectively alleviate the contradiction between supply and demand.
Fund Project: ShenZhen Institute of information technology, University-level project of 11400-2021-010201-0126.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsReferences
Chen, S., Ruan, B., Liu, H., Zhang, W.: Positioning and reflection on the development of housing security in Hubei Province during the 14th five-year plan period. Hubei Soc. Sci. 9, 35–42 (2020)
Shan, L., Zhou, Y., Jing, W., Zhou, Z.: Livable urban planning in shenzhen in the new era: exploration and practice. Urban Plan. Rev. 7, 110–118 (2020)
Chen, Y., Chen, X.: The impact of population aging on China’s urban housing demand. Econ. Theory Econ. Manage. 5, 45–57 (2013)
Wu, J., Xu, M.: Calculation and analysis of the scale of urban new housing demand in China. Stat. Res. 9, 75–88 (2021)
Deng, H., Huang, G., Xu, S.: Impact of population structure change on housing demand: an empirical analysis based on provincial panel data from 2002 to 2016. J. Central China Normal Univ. Hum. Soc. Sci. 3, 51–59 (2019)
He, R.: Research on the demand of rent and purchase groups in Beijing based on eigenprice model. China’s Collective Econ. 29, 11–14 (2020)
Zhu, L., Li, X., Dong, J.: Research on the influencing factors of housing demand under the background of population aging – based on the analysis of population structure, housing price and other factors. Price Theory Pract. 6, 95–98 (2019)
Yang, Z., Li, Q., Hong, J.: Research on the correlation of housing demand and policy impact based on urban agglomeration. East China Econ. Manage. 11, 100–106 (2019)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2022 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Li, X., Xu, J. (2022). 2021–2025: Forecast Analysis of Increased Housing Demand in Shenzhen. In: Serhani, M.A., Zhang, LJ. (eds) Services – SERVICES 2021. SERVICES 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 12996. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-96585-3_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-96585-3_6
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-96584-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-96585-3
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)