Abstract
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) is a severe chronic disease characterized by progressive or alternate impairment of neurological functions, characterized by high heterogeneity both in symptoms and disease progression. As a consequence its clinical course is highly uncertain, challenging both patients and clinicians. Indeed, patients have to manage alternated periods in hospital with care at home, experiencing a constant uncertainty regarding the timing of the disease acute phases and facing a considerable psychological and economic burden that also involves their caregivers. Clinicians, on the other hand, need tools able to support them in all the phases of the patient treatment, suggest personalized therapeutic decisions, indicate urgently needed interventions. The goal of is to design and develop an evaluation infrastructure for AI algorithms able to:
-
1.
better describe disease mechanisms;
-
2.
stratify patients according to their phenotype assessed all over the disease evolution;
-
3.
predict disease progression in a probabilistic, time dependent fashion.
A. Guazzo and I. Trescato—These authors contributed equally.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
- 2.
- 3.
- 4.
- 5.
Death is considered a competing event since a patient might incur death before experiencing the event of interest; the models should account for that.
- 6.
For the tasks 1c and 2c, death is not a competing event anymore but the focus of the models’ predictions.
- 7.
References
Bettin, M., et al.: Deliverable 9.1 - Project ontology and terminology, including data mapper and RDF graph builder. BRAINTEASER, EU Horizon 2020, Contract N. GA101017598, December 2021. https://brainteaser.health/
Branco, R., et al.: Hierarchical modelling for ALS prognosis: predicting the progression towards critical events. In: Faggioli, G., Ferro, N., Hanbury, A., Potthast, M. (eds.) CLEF 2022 Working Notes. CEUR Workshop Proceedings. CEUR-WS.org (2022). ISSN 1613-0073
Brier, G.W.: Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Mon. Weather Rev. 78(1), 1–3 (1950)
Buonocore, T.M., Nicora, G., Dagliati, A., Parimbelli, E.: Evaluation of XAI on ALS 6-months mortality prediction. In: Faggioli, G., Ferro, N., Hanbury, A., Potthast, M. (eds.) CLEF 2022 Working Notes. CEUR Workshop Proceedings. CEUR-WS.org (2022). ISSN 1613-0073
Cedarbaum, J.M., et al.: The ALSFRS-R: a revised ALS functional rating scale that incorporates assessments of respiratory function. J. Neurol. Sci. 169(1–2), 13–21 (1999)
Chio, A., et al.: Prognostic factors in ALS: a critical review. Amyotrop. Lateral Sclerosis 10(5–6), 310–323 (2009)
Faggioli, G., Ferro, N., Hanbury, A., Potthast, M. (eds.) CLEF 2022 Working Notes. CEUR Workshop Proceedings. CEUR-WS.org (2022). ISSN 1613-0073
Guazzo, A., et al.: Intelligent disease progression prediction: overview of iDPP@CLEF 2022. In: Barrón-Cedeño, A., et al. (eds.) Experimental IR Meets Multilinguality, Multimodality, and Interaction. Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Conference of the CLEF Association (CLEF 2022). LNCS, vol. 13390, pp. 386–413. Springer, Heidelberg (2022)
Guazzo, A., et al.: Overview of iDPP@CLEF 2022: the intelligent disease progression prediction challenge. In: Faggioli, G., Ferro, N., Hanbury, A., Potthast, M. (eds.) CLEF 2022 Working Notes. CEUR Workshop Proceedings. CEUR-WS.org (2022). ISSN 1613-0073
Hanley, J.A., McNeil, B.J.: The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Radiology 143(1), 29–36 (1982). pMID: 7063747
Harrell, F.E., J., Califf, R.M., Pryor, D.B., Lee, K.L., Rosati, R.A.: Evaluating the yield of medical tests. JAMA 247(18), 2543–2546 (1982). ISSN 0098-7484
Küffner, R., et al.: Crowdsourced analysis of clinical trial data to predict amyotrophic lateral sclerosis progression. Nat. Biotechnol. 33(1), 51–57 (2015)
Longato, E., Vettoretti, M., Di Camillo, B.: A practical perspective on the concordance index for the evaluation and selection of prognostic time-to-event models. J. Biomed. Inform. 108, 103496:1–103496:9 (2020)
Mannion, A., Chevalier, T., Schwab, D., Goeuriot, L.: Predicting the Risk of & time to impairment for ALS patients. In: Faggioli, G., Ferro, N., Hanbury, A., Potthast, M. (eds.) CLEF 2022 Working Notes. CEUR Workshop Proceedings. CEUR-WS.org (2022). ISSN 1613-0073
Nunes, S., et al.: Explaining artificial intelligence predictions of disease progression with semantic similarity. In: Faggioli, G., Ferro, N., Hanbury, A., Potthast, M. (eds.) CLEF 2022 Working Notes. CEUR Workshop Proceedings. CEUR-WS.org (2022). ISSN 1613-0073
Pancotti, C., Birolo, G., Sanavia, T., Rollo, C., Fariselli, P.: Multi-event survival prediction for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. In: Faggioli, G., Ferro, N., Hanbury, A., Potthast, M. (eds.) CLEF 2022 Working Notes. CEUR Workshop Proceedings. CEUR-WS.org (2022). ISSN 1613-0073
Pencina, M.J., D’Agostino, R.B.: Overall C as a measure of discrimination in survival analysis: model specific population value and confidence interval estimation. Stat. Med. 23(13), 2109–2123 (2004)
Trescato, I., et al.: Baseline machine learning approaches to predict amyotrophic lateral sclerosis disease progression. In: Faggioli, G., Ferro, N., Hanbury, A., Potthast, M. (eds.) CLEF 2022 Working Notes. CEUR Workshop Proceedings. CEUR-WS.org (2022). ISSN 1613-0073
Acknowledgments
The work reported in this paper has been partially supported by the BRAINTEASER (https://brainteaser.health/) project (contract n. GA101017598), as a part of the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Guazzo, A. et al. (2022). Intelligent Disease Progression Prediction: Overview of iDPP@CLEF 2022. In: Barrón-Cedeño, A., et al. Experimental IR Meets Multilinguality, Multimodality, and Interaction. CLEF 2022. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 13390. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-13643-6_25
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-13643-6_25
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-13642-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-031-13643-6
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)