Branch & Learn with Post-hoc Correction for Predict+Optimize with Unknown Parameters in Constraints

Abstract

Combining machine learning and constrained optimization, Predict+ Optimize tackles optimization problems containing parameters that are unknown at the time of solving. Prior works focus on cases with unknowns only in the objectives. A new framework was recently proposed to cater for unknowns also in constraints by introducing a loss function, called Post-hoc Regret, that takes into account the cost of correcting an unsatisfiable prediction. Since Post-hoc Regret is non-differentiable, the previous work computes only its approximation. While the notion of Post-hoc Regret is general, its specific implementation is applicable to only packing and covering linear programming problems. In this paper, we first show how to compute Post-hoc Regret exactly for any optimization problem solvable by a recursive algorithm satisfying simple conditions. Experimentation demonstrates substantial improvement in the quality of solutions as compared to the earlier approximation approach. Furthermore, we show experimentally the empirical behavior of different combinations of correction and penalty functions used in the Post-hoc Regret of the same benchmarks. Results provide insights for defining the appropriate Post-hoc Regret in different application scenarios.