Skip to main content

Evaluation of Fuzzy System Ensemble Approach to Predict from a Data Stream

  • Conference paper

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 8398))

Abstract

In the paper we present extensive experiments to evaluate our recently proposed method applying the ensembles of genetic fuzzy systems to build reliable predictive models from a data stream of real estate transactions. The method relies on building models over the chunks of a data stream determined by a sliding time window and incrementally expanding an ensemble by systematically generated models in the course of time. The aged models are utilized to compose ensembles and their output is updated with trend functions reflecting the changes of prices in the market. The experiments aimed at examining the impact of the number of aged models used to compose an ensemble on the accuracy and the influence of degree of polynomial trend functions applied to modify the results on the performance of single models and ensembles. The analysis of experimental results was made employing statistical approach including nonparametric tests followed by post-hoc procedures devised for multiple N×N comparisons.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Gaber, M.M.: Advances in data stream mining. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery 2(1), 79–85 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Brzeziński, D., Stefanowski, J.: Accuracy Updated Ensemble for Data Streams with Concept Drift. In: Corchado, E., Kurzyński, M., Woźniak, M. (eds.) HAIS 2011, Part II. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 6679, pp. 155–163. Springer, Heidelberg (2011)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  3. Sobolewski, P., Woźniak, M.: Concept Drift Detection and Model Selection with Simulated Recurrence and Ensembles of Statistical Detectors. Journal for Universal Computer Science 19(4), 462–483 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Tsymbal, A.: The problem of concept drift: Definitions and related work. Technical Report. Department of Computer Science, Trinity College, Dublin (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Kuncheva, L.I.: Classifier ensembles for changing environments. In: Roli, F., Kittler, J., Windeatt, T. (eds.) MCS 2004. LNCS, vol. 3077, pp. 1–15. Springer, Heidelberg (2004)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  6. Minku, L.L., White, A.P., Yao, X.: The Impact of Diversity on Online Ensemble Learning in the Presence of Concept Drift. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering 22(5), 730–742 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Król, D., Lasota, T., Trawiński, B., Trawiński, K.: Investigation of Evolutionary Optimization Methods of TSK Fuzzy Model for Real Estate Appraisal. International Journal of Hybrid Intelligent Systems 5(3), 111–128 (2008)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  8. Kempa, O., Lasota, T., Telec, Z., Trawiński, B.: Investigation of bagging ensembles of genetic neural networks and fuzzy systems for real estate appraisal. In: Nguyen, N.T., Kim, C.-G., Janiak, A. (eds.) ACIIDS 2011, Part II. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 6592, pp. 323–332. Springer, Heidelberg (2011)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  9. Lasota, T., Telec, Z., Trawiński, G., Trawiński, B.: Empirical Comparison of Resampling Methods Using Genetic Fuzzy Systems for a Regression Problem. In: Yin, H., Wang, W., Rayward-Smith, V. (eds.) IDEAL 2011. LNCS, vol. 6936, pp. 17–24. Springer, Heidelberg (2011)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  10. Lasota, T., Telec, Z., Trawiński, B., Trawiński, K.: Investigation of the eTS Evolving Fuzzy Systems Applied to Real Estate Appraisal. Journal of Multiple-Valued Logic and Soft Computing 17(2-3), 229–253 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Lughofer, E., Trawiński, B., Trawiński, K., Kempa, O., Lasota, T.: On Employing Fuzzy Modeling Algorithms for the Valuation of Residential Premises. Information Sciences 181, 5123–5142 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Trawiński, B., Lasota, T., Smętek, M., Trawiński, G.: An Attempt to Employ Genetic Fuzzy Systems to Predict from a Data Stream of Premises Transactions. In: Hüllermeier, E., Link, S., Fober, T., Seeger, B. (eds.) SUM 2012. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 7520, pp. 127–140. Springer, Heidelberg (2012)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  13. Trawiński, B., Lasota, T., Smętek, M., Trawiński, G.: An Analysis of Change Trends by Predicting from a Data Stream Using Genetic Fuzzy Systems. In: Nguyen, N.-T., Hoang, K., Jędrzejowicz, P. (eds.) ICCCI 2012, Part I. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 7653, pp. 220–229. Springer, Heidelberg (2012)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  14. Trawiński, B., Lasota, T., Smętek, M., Trawiński, G.: Weighting Component Models by Predicting from Data Streams Using Ensembles of Genetic Fuzzy Systems. In: Larsen, H.L., Martin-Bautista, M.J., Vila, M.A., Andreasen, T., Christiansen, H. (eds.) FQAS 2013. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 8132, pp. 567–578. Springer, Heidelberg (2013)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  15. Trawiński, B.: Evolutionary Fuzzy System Ensemble Approach to Model Real Estate Market based on Data Stream Exploration. Journal of Universal Computer Science 19(4), 539–562 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Cordón, O., Herrera, F.: A Two-Stage Evolutionary Process for Designing TSK Fuzzy Rule-Based Systems. IEEE Tr. on Sys., Man and Cyber., Part B 29(6), 703–715 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Demšar, J.: Statistical comparisons of classifiers over multiple data sets. Journal of Machine Learning Research 7, 1–30 (2006)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  18. García, S., Herrera, F.: An Extension on “Statistical Comparisons of Classifiers over Multiple Data Sets” for all Pairwise Comparisons. Journal of Machine Learning Research 9, 2677–2694 (2008)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  19. Graczyk, M., Lasota, T., Telec, Z., Trawiński, B.: Nonparametric Statistical Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Regression Problems. In: Setchi, R., Jordanov, I., Howlett, R.J., Jain, L.C. (eds.) KES 2010, Part I. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 6276, pp. 111–120. Springer, Heidelberg (2010)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  20. Trawiński, B., Smętek, M., Telec, Z., Lasota, T.: Nonparametric Statistical Analysis for Multiple Comparison of Machine Learning Regression Algorithms. International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science 22(4), 867–881 (2012)

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this paper

Cite this paper

Trawiński, B., Smętek, M., Lasota, T., Trawiński, G. (2014). Evaluation of Fuzzy System Ensemble Approach to Predict from a Data Stream. In: Nguyen, N.T., Attachoo, B., Trawiński, B., Somboonviwat, K. (eds) Intelligent Information and Database Systems. ACIIDS 2014. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 8398. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-05458-2_15

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-05458-2_15

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-05457-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-05458-2

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics