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Popularity Prediction of Burst Event in Microblogging

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Book cover Web-Age Information Management (WAIM 2014)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNISA,volume 8485))

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Abstract

Every day, thousands of burst events are generated in microblogging first, and then affect the public opinion to a large degree. Thus, it is quite necessary to find out “how hot the burst event will be in the future”. In this paper, we propose a prediction model which combines the analysis of event content and users’ interest to predict the volume of the burst event in the implicit network. Particularly, it is assumed that different user has different influence power and different interest in the burst event. The popularity of an event depends on the volumes produced by the users infected in the past and its historical popularity. Experimental results show the superior performance of our approach.

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© 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

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Zhang, X., Li, Z., Chao, W., Xia, J. (2014). Popularity Prediction of Burst Event in Microblogging. In: Li, F., Li, G., Hwang, Sw., Yao, B., Zhang, Z. (eds) Web-Age Information Management. WAIM 2014. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 8485. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-08010-9_53

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-08010-9_53

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-08009-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-08010-9

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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