Skip to main content

Predicting Stock Market Trends by Recurrent Deep Neural Networks

  • Conference paper
PRICAI 2014: Trends in Artificial Intelligence (PRICAI 2014)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 8862))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

Investors make decisions based on various factors, including consumer price index, price-earnings ratio, and also miscellaneous events reported by newspapers. In order to assist their decisions in a timely manner, many studies have been conducted to automatically analyze those information sources in the last decades. However, the majority of the efforts was made for utilizing numerical information, partly due to the difficulty to process natural language texts and to make sense of their temporal properties. This study sheds light on this problem by using deep learning, which has been attracting much attention in various areas of research including pattern mining and machine learning for its ability to automatically construct useful features from a large amount of data. Specifically, this study proposes an approach to market trend prediction based on a recurrent deep neural network to model temporal effects of past events. The validity of the proposed approach is demonstrated on the real-world data for ten Nikkei companies.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Boulanger-Lewandowski, N., Bengio, Y., Vincent, P.: Modeling temporal dependencies in high-dimensional sequences: Application to polyphonic music generation and transcription. In: Proceedings of the Twenty-Ninth International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 1159–1166 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Dahl, G.E., Yu, D., Deng, L., Acero, A.: Context-dependent pre-trained deep neural networks for large-vocabulary speech recognition. IEEE Transactions on Audio, Speech, and Language Processing 20(1), 30–42 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Gidofalvi, G., Elkan, C.: Using news articles to predict stock price movements. Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Huang, W., Nakamori, Y., Wang, S.Y.: Forecasting stock market movement direction with support vector machine. Computers & Operations Research 32(10), 2513–2522 (2005)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  5. Izumi, K., Goto, T., Matsui, T.: Trading tests of long-term market forecast by text mining. In: Proceedings of the Tenth IEEE International Conference on Data Mining Workshops, pp. 935–942 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Kim, K.J.: Financial time series forecasting using support vector machines. Neurocomputing 55(1), 307–319 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Krizhevsky, A., Sutskever, I., Hinton, G.E.: Imagenet classification with deep convolutional neural networks. In: Proceedings of the Twenty-Fifth International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, pp. 1106–1114 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Kudo, T.: Mecab: Yet another part-of-speech and morphological analyzer (2005), http://mecab.sourceforge.net/

  9. Lavrenko, V., Schmill, M., Lawrie, D., Ogilvie, P., Jensen, D., Allan, J.: Language models for financial news recommendation. In: Proceedings of the Ninth International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management, pp. 389–396 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Lavrenko, V., Schmill, M., Lawrie, D., Ogilvie, P., Jensen, D., Allan, J.: Mining of concurrent text and time series. In: Proceedings of the KDD 2000 Workshop on Text Mining, pp. 37–44 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Mittermayer, M.A.: Forecasting intraday stock price trends with text mining techniques. In: Proceedings of the 37th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 10 p. IEEE (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Pavlidis, T., Horowitz, S.: Segmentation of plane curves. IEEE Transactions on Computers 23(8), 860–870 (1974)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  13. Schumaker, R.P., Chen, H.: Textual analysis of stock market prediction using breaking financial news: The AZFin text system. ACM Transactions on Information Systems (TOIS) 27(2), 12:1–12:19 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Shin, K.S., Lee, T.S., Kim, H.J.: An application of support vector machines in bankruptcy prediction model. Expert Systems with Applications 28(1), 127–135 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Socher, R., Pennington, J., Huang, E.H., Ng, A.Y., Manning, C.D.: Semi-supervised recursive autoencoders for predicting sentiment distributions. In: Proceedings of the Sixteenth Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, pp. 151–161 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Sutskever, I., Hinton, G.E., Taylor, G.W.: The recurrent temporal restricted boltzmann machine. In: Proceedings of the Twenty-Second International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, pp. 1601–1608 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Tay, F.E., Cao, L.: Application of support vector machines in financial time series forecasting. Omega 29(4), 309–317 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Werbos, P.J.: Backpropagation through time: what it does and how to do it. Proceedings of the IEEE 78(10), 1550–1560 (1990)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this paper

Cite this paper

Yoshihara, A., Fujikawa, K., Seki, K., Uehara, K. (2014). Predicting Stock Market Trends by Recurrent Deep Neural Networks. In: Pham, DN., Park, SB. (eds) PRICAI 2014: Trends in Artificial Intelligence. PRICAI 2014. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 8862. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-13560-1_60

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-13560-1_60

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-13559-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-13560-1

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics