Skip to main content

A Brief Survey on Event Prediction Methods in Time Series

  • Conference paper
Artificial Intelligence Perspectives and Applications

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 347))

Abstract

Time series mining is a new area of research in temporal data bases. Hitherto various methods have been presented for time series mining which the most of an existing works in different applied areas have been focused on event prediction. Event prediction is one of the main goals of time series mining which can play an effective role for appropriate decision making in different applied areas. Due to the variety and plenty of event prediction methods in time series and lack of a proper context for their systematic introduction, in this paper, a classification is proposed for event prediction methods in time series. Also, event prediction methods in time series are evaluated based on the proposed classification by some proposed measures. Using the proposed classification can be beneficial in selecting the appropriate method and can play an effective role in the analysis of event prediction methods in different application domains.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Morchen, F.: Time Series Knowledge Mining. MS. Thesis, Marburg (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Rude, A.: Event Discovery and Classification in Space-Time Series. MS.Thesis. National Institute of Technology, The University of Maine (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Koohzadi, M., Keyvanpour, M.R.: An analytical framework for event mining in video data. Artif. Intelli. Rev. 41, 401–413 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Shasha, D., Zhu, Y.: High Performance Discovery in Time Series. Techniques and Case Studies, pp. 1–190. Springer, New York (2004) ISBN:0-387-00857-8

    Google Scholar 

  5. Soni, J., Ansari, U., Sharma, D.: Predictive Data Mining for Medical Diagnosis. International J. Comp. Appli. 17, 808–816 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Gabarda, S., Cristobal, G.: Detection of events in seismic time series by time – frequency methods. In: Proceeding of 8th Signal Processing, IET, vol. 4, pp. 413–420 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Preethi, G., Santhi, B.: Study on Techniques of Earthquake Prediction. International J. Comp. Appli. 29, 55–58 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Preston, D., Brodleyz, C., Protopapas, P.: Event Discovery in Time Series. In: International Conference on Data Mining, vol. 3, pp. 34–38 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Robert, K.L., Chin-Yuan, F., Wei-Hsiu, H., Pei-Chan, C.: Evolving and clustering fuzzy decision tree for financial time series data forecasting. Expert Systems with Appli. 4, 3761–3773 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Lin, Y., Yang, Y.: Stock markets forecasting based on fuzzy time series model. In: Proceedings of IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Computing and Intelligent Systems, Shanghai, vol. 1, pp. 782–786 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Reuse, H., Joshi, M.J., Rascal, R.: Importance of Data Mining Time Series Technique in Crime and Criminal Investigation: A Case Study of Pune Rural Police Stations. International J. Comp. Applic. 30, 38–42 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Damle, C.: Flood forecasting using time series data mining. MS.Thesis, College of Engineering. University of South Florida (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Arbian, S., Wibowo, A.: Time Series Methods for Water Level Forecasting of Dungun River In Terengganu Malayzia. International J. Engin. Science Technology 4, 1803–1811 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Tak-chung, F.: A review on time series data mining. Engin. Applic. Artifi. Intell. 24, 164–181 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Keyvanpour, M.R., Etaati, A.: Analytical Classification and Evaluation of Various Approaches in Temporal Data Mining. In: Thaung, K.S. (ed.) Advanced Information Technology in Education. AISC, vol. 126, pp. 303–311. Springer, Heidelberg (2012)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  16. Yan, X.B., Lu, T., Li, Y.J., Cui, G.B.: Research on Event Prediction In Time-Series Data. In: Proceedings of IEEE International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics, Shanghai, pp. 2874–2878 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Lajevardi, S.B., Minaei-Bidgoli, B.: Forecasting Airport Passenger Traffic: The Case of Hong Kong International Airport. In: Proceeding of Aviation Education and Resaerch, pp. 54–62 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Coshall, J.: Time series analyses of UK outbound travel by air. Travel. Research, 335–347 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Anderson, O.D.: The Box-Jenkins Approach To Time seies Analysis. R. A. I. R. O Research Operationelle/Operations Research 11, 3–29 (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Kyoung-jae, K.: Financial time series forecasting using support vector machines. Neuro Computing 3, 307–319 (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Park, S.-H., Lee, J.-H., Song, J.-W., Park, T.-S.: Forecasting Change Directions for Financial Time Series Using Hidden Markov Model. In: Wen, P., Li, Y., Polkowski, L., Yao, Y., Tsumoto, S., Wang, G. (eds.) RSKT 2009. LNCS, vol. 5589, pp. 184–191. Springer, Heidelberg (2009), J. Pattern. Recog,

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  22. Haibin, C., Pang-Ning, T.: Semi-supervised Learning with Data Calibration for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting, pp. 1–9. ACM (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  23. Sanwlani, M., Vijayalakshmi, M.: Forecasting Sales Through Time Series Clustering. International J. Data Mining Knowledge Manage. Process 3, 39–56 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Kao, D.Z., Pang, S., Bai, Y.H.: Forecasting Exchange Rate Using Support Vector Machines. In: Proceedings of 4th International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics, Guangzhou, pp. 3448–3452 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  25. Hong, W.C.: Electric load forecasting by support vector model. Applied Mathematical Modelling 33 32, 2444–2454 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Espinoza, M., Suykens, J.A.K., De Moor, B.: Load Forecasting Using Fixed-Size Least Squares Support Vector Machines. In: Cabestany, J., Prieto, A.G., Sandoval, F. (eds.) IWANN 2005. LNCS, vol. 3512, pp. 1018–1026. Springer, Heidelberg (2005)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  27. Wang, X., Han, M.: Multivariate Time Series Prediction based on Multiple Kernel Extreme Learning Machine. In: Proceeding of International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN), Beijing, China, pp. 198–201 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  28. Ghosh, B., Basu, B., Mhony, M.: Multivariate Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Using Time Series Analysis. IEEE Trans. Intelligent Transportation Systems 10, 246–254 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Lajevardi, S.B., Minaei-Bidgoli, B.: Combination of Time Series, Decision Tree and Clustering: A Case Study in Aerolology Event Prediction. In: Proceeding of IEEE International Conference on Computer and Electrical Engineering, pp. 111–115 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  30. Zhang, G.P.: Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model. Neurocomputing, 159–175 (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  31. Shaminder, S., Pankaj, B., Jasmeen, G.: Time Series based Temperature Prediction using Back Propagation with Genetic Algorithm Technique. International J. Comp. Science 8, 28–32 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  32. Crone, S.F., Kourentzes, N.: Feature selection for time series prediction – A combined filter and wrapper approach for neural networks. Neurocomputing, 1923–1936 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  33. Lundkisi, E.: Decision Tree Classification and Forecasting of Pricing Time Series Data. MS. Thesis, Stockholm, Sweden (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  34. Gholami, E., Borujerdi, M.M.: Fuzzy Knowledge Discovery from Time Series Data for Events Prediction. In: Ho, T.-B., Zhou, Z.-H. (eds.) PRICAI 2008. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 5351, pp. 646–657. Springer, Heidelberg (2008)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  35. Corani, G., Guariso, G.: Coupling Fuzzy Modeling and Neural Networks for River Flood Prediction. IEEE Trans. Systems, Man, Cybernetics—Part C: Application and Reviews 35, 382–390 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Soheila Mehrmolaei .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this paper

Cite this paper

Mehrmolaei, S., Keyvanpourr, M.R. (2015). A Brief Survey on Event Prediction Methods in Time Series. In: Silhavy, R., Senkerik, R., Oplatkova, Z., Prokopova, Z., Silhavy, P. (eds) Artificial Intelligence Perspectives and Applications. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 347. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-18476-0_24

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-18476-0_24

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-18475-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-18476-0

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics