Abstract
We propose a method to predict treatment response patterns based on spatio-temporal disease signatures extracted from longitudinal spectral domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) images. We extract spatio-temporal disease signatures describing the underlying retinal structure and pathology by transforming total retinal thickness maps into a joint reference coordinate system. We formulate the prediction as a multi-variate sparse generalized linear model regression based on the aligned signatures. The algorithm predicts if and when recurrence of the disease will occur in the future. Experiments demonstrate that the model identifies predictive and interpretable features in the spatio-temporal signature. In initial experiments recurrence vs. non-recurrence is predicted with a ROC AuC of 0.99. Based on observed longitudinal morphology changes and a time-to-event based Cox regression model we predict the time to recurrence with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.25 months, comparing favorably to elastic net regression (1.34 months), demonstrating the benefit of a spatio-temporal survival model.
W.-D. Vogl—The financial support by the Austrian Federal Ministry of Economy, Family and Youth and the National Foundation for Research, Technology and Development, the EU (FP7-ICT-2009-5/318068, VISCERAL), and OeNB (15929) is gratefully acknowledged.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Smith, J.J., Sorensen, A.G., Thrall, J.H.: Biomarkers in imaging: Realizing radiology’s future. Radiology 227(3), 633–638 (2003)
Laouri, M., Chen, E., Looman, M., Gallagher, M.: The burden of disease of retinal vein occlusion: review of the literature. Eye 25(8), 981–988 (2011)
Tibshirani, R.: Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B (Methodol.) 58, 267–288 (1996)
Zou, H., Hastie, T.: Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B (Methodol.) 67(2), 301–320 (2005)
Breiman, L.: Random forests. Machine learning 45(1), 5–32 (2001)
Hastie, T.J., Tibshirani, R.J., Friedman, J.H.: The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction. Springer, Heidelberg (2011)
Rasmussen, P.M., Hansen, L.K., Madsen, K.H., Churchill, N.W., Strother, S.C.: Model sparsity and brain pattern interpretation of classification models in neuroimaging. Pattern Recogn. 45(6), 2085–2100 (2012). Brain Decoding
Zou, H., Hastie, T.: Regression shrinkage and selection via the elastic net, with applications to microarrays. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. B. 67, 301–320 (2003)
Langs, G., Menze, B.H., Lashkari, D., Golland, P.: Detecting stable distributed patterns of brain activation using gini contrast. NeuroImage 56(2), 497–507 (2011)
Kandel, B.M., Wolk, D.A., Gee, J.C., Avants, B.: Predicting cognitive data from medical images using sparse linear regression. In: Gee, J.C., Joshi, S., Pohl, K.M., Wells, W.M., Zöllei, L. (eds.) IPMI 2013. LNCS, vol. 7917, pp. 86–97. Springer, Heidelberg (2013)
Sabuncu, M.R.: A Bayesian algorithm for image-based time-to-event prediction. In: Wu, G., Zhang, D., Shen, D., Yan, P., Suzuki, K., Wang, F. (eds.) MLMI 2013. LNCS, vol. 8184, pp. 74–81. Springer, Heidelberg (2013)
Bogunović, H., Abrà moff, M.D., Zhang, L., Sonka, M.: Prediction of treatment response from retinal oct in patients with exudative age-related macular degeneration. In: Chen, X., Garvin, M.K., L.J., (ed.) Proceedings of the Ophthalmic Medical Image Analysis First International Workshop, OMIA 2014, Held in Conjunction with MICCAI 2014, Boston, Massachusetts, September 14, 2014, pp. 129–136 Iowa Research Online (2014)
Reuter, M., Schmansky, N.J., Rosas, H.D., Fischl, B.: Within-subject template estimation for unbiased longitudinal image analysis. Neuroimage 61(4), 1402–1418 (2012)
Abrà moff, M.D., Garvin, M.K., Sonka, M.: Retinal imaging and image analysis. IEEE Rev. Biomed. Eng. 3, 169–208 (2010)
Montuoro, A., Wu, J., Waldstein, S., Gerendas, B., Langs, G., Simader, C., Schmidt-Erfurth, U.: Motion artefact correction in retinal optical coherence tomography using local symmetry. In: Golland, P., Hata, N., Barillot, C., Hornegger, J., Howe, R. (eds.) MICCAI 2014, Part II. LNCS, vol. 8674, pp. 130–137. Springer, Heidelberg (2014)
Myronenko, A., Song, X.: Point set registration: Coherent point drift. IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell. 32(12), 2262–2275 (2010)
Wu, J., Gerendas, B.S., Waldstein, S.M., Langs, G., Simader, C., Schmidt-Erfurth, U.: Stable registration of pathological 3D-oct scans using retinal vessels. In: Chen, X., Garvin, M.K., Liu, J.J. (eds.) Proceedings of the Ophthalmic Medical Image Analysis First International Workshop, OMIA 2014, Held in Conjunction with MICCAI 2014, pp. 1–8. Iowa Research Online (2014)
Garvin, M.K., Abrà moff, M.D., Wu, X., Russell, S.R., Burns, T.L., Sonka, M.: Automated 3-D intraretinal layer segmentation of macular spectral-domain optical coherence tomography images. IEEE Trans. Med. Imaging 28(9), 1436–1447 (2009)
Cox, D.: Regression models and life tables (with discussion). J. Roy. Stati. Soc. B 34, 187–220 (1972)
Cox, D.R., Oakes, D.: Analysis of survival data. vol. 21. CRC Press (1984)
Friedman, J., Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R.: Regularization paths for generalized linear models via coordinate descent. J. Stat. Softw. 33(1), 1 (2010)
Simon, N., Friedman, J., Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R.: Regularization paths for cox’s proportional hazards model via coordinate descent. J. Stat. Softw. 39(5), 1–13 (2011)
Chew, E.Y., Klein, M.L., Ferris, F.L., Remaley, N.A., Murphy, R.P., Chantry, K., Hoogwerf, B.J., Miller, D.: Association of elevated serum lipid levels with retinal hard exudate in diabetic retinopathy: Early treatment diabetic retinopathy study (etdrs) report 22. Arch. Ophthalmol. 114(9), 1079–1084 (1996)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2015 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this paper
Cite this paper
Vogl, WD. et al. (2015). Spatio-Temporal Signatures to Predict Retinal Disease Recurrence. In: Ourselin, S., Alexander, D., Westin, CF., Cardoso, M. (eds) Information Processing in Medical Imaging. IPMI 2015. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9123. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-19992-4_12
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-19992-4_12
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-19991-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-19992-4
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)