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Together We Are Strong—Divided Still Stronger? Strategic Aspects of a Fiscal Union

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Abstract

In this paper we present an application of dynamic tracking games to a monetary union. We use a small stylized nonlinear two-country macroeconomic model of a monetary union for analysing the interactions between two fiscal (governments) and one monetary (common central bank) policy makers. We introduce a negative asymmetric demand side shock describing the macroeconomic dynamics within a monetary union similar to the economic crisis (2007–2010) and the sovereign debt crisis (since 2010) in Europe. We investigate the welfare consequences of three scenarios: fiscal policies by independent governments (the present situation), centralized fiscal policy (a fiscal union) with an independent central bank, and a fully centralized fiscal and monetary union. For the latter two scenarios, we investigate the effects of different assumptions about the weights for the two governments in the cooperative agreement.

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References

  1. Blueschke, D., Neck, R., Behrens, D.A.: OPTGAME3: A dynamic game solver and an economic example. In: Krivan, V., Zaccour, G., (eds.) Advances in Dynamic Games. Theory, Applications, and Numerical Methods, pp. 29–51. Birkhäuser (2013)

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  2. Neck, R., Blueschke, D.: “Haircuts” for the EMU periphery: virtue or vice? Empirica 41(2), 153–175 (2014)

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Correspondence to D. Blueschke .

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Blueschke, D., Neck, R. (2017). Together We Are Strong—Divided Still Stronger? Strategic Aspects of a Fiscal Union. In: Dörner, K., Ljubic, I., Pflug, G., Tragler, G. (eds) Operations Research Proceedings 2015. Operations Research Proceedings. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-42902-1_76

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