Abstract
With the global population expected to increase form 7.3 billion in 2015 to 9.5 billion by 2050 [41], smart city planning is becoming increasingly important. This is further exasperated by the fact that an increasing number of people are relocating to cities as we live in a highly urbanised world. Cities are evolving in complex and multi-dimensional ways that can no longer be limited to land use and transport development. In increasingly important that cities planning embraces a more holistic, participatory and iterative approach that balances productivity, livability and sustainability outcomes. A new generation of bottom up, highly granular, highly dynamic and spatially explicit models have emerged to support evidence-based and adaptive urban planning. Agent-based modelling, in particular, has emerged as a dominant paradigm to create massive simulations backed by ever-increasing computing power. In this paper we point at current limitations of pure bottom-up approaches to urban modelling and argue for more flexible frameworks mixing other modelling paradigms, particularly participatory planning approaches. Then, we explore four modelling challenges and propose future trends for agent-based modelling of urban systems to better support planning decisions.
A. Banos—While joining SMART Infrastructure Facility as a Visiting Professorial Fellow for three months (july-august-september 2016), Arnaud Banos benefited from the International Mobility Support Program (edition 2016) - InSHS-CNRS.
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Perez, P., Banos, A., Pettit, C. (2017). Agent-Based Modelling for Urban Planning Current Limitations and Future Trends. In: Namazi-Rad, MR., Padgham, L., Perez, P., Nagel, K., Bazzan, A. (eds) Agent Based Modelling of Urban Systems. ABMUS 2016. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10051. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-51957-9_4
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