Abstract
A case study of finding the best algorithm for predicting the time of the next refueling event from an incomplete, crowd-sourced data set is presented. We considered ten algorithms including nine experts plus one ensemble (learner) method that performs machine learning using the other nine experts. An experiment on one dimensional crowd-sourced data showed that prediction with the ensemble method is more accurate than prediction with any of the individual experts.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Yang, Q., Wang, H., Zhang, W.: Web-log mining for quantitative temporal-event prediction. IEEE Comput. Intell. Bull. 1, 10–18 (2002)
Huang, Q., Yang, Q., Huang, J.Z., Ng, M.K.: Mining of Web-page visiting patterns with continuous-time Markov models. In: Dai, H., Srikant, R., Zhang, C. (eds.) PAKDD 2004. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 3056, pp. 549–558. Springer, Heidelberg (2004). doi:10.1007/978-3-540-24775-3_65
Totamane, R., Dasgupta, A., Rao, S.: Air cargo demand modeling and prediction. IEEE Syst. J. 8(1), 52–62 (2014)
Weiner, I., Freedheim, D., Schinka, J., Velicer, W.: Handbook of Psychology, Research Methods in Psychology. Wiley, Hoboken (2003)
Chai, D.J., Kim, E.H., Jin, L., Hwang, B., Ryu, K.H.: Prediction of frequent items to one dimensional stream data. In: ICCSA 2007, pp. 353–361 (2007)
Zhang, G.: Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model. Neurocomputing 50, 159–175 (2003)
Tan, P.: Introduction to Data Mining. Pearson Education, London (2006)
Agarwal, S.: Online Learning from Experts: Weighted Majority and Hedge, Course notes: E0 370. University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia (2011)
Littlestone, N., Warmuth, M.: The weighted majority algorithm. Inf. Comput. 108(2), 212–261 (1994)
Cesa-Bianchi, N., Lugosi, G.: Prediction, Learning, and Games. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2006)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Mirbagheri, S.M., Hamilton, H.J. (2017). Time Prediction of the Next Refueling Event: A Case Study. In: Mouhoub, M., Langlais, P. (eds) Advances in Artificial Intelligence. Canadian AI 2017. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10233. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57351-9_15
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57351-9_15
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-57350-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-57351-9
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)