Abstract
Precipitation forecasting for short duration is an important problem in weather prediction. In this work, we propose a deep learning based approach for precipitation forecasting using Doppler weather radar data. Our approach uses convolutions within recurrence structure in vanilla recurrent neural networks exploiting both spatial and temporal dependencies in the data. We show that this approach can be applied for fine grained precipitation forecast with similar accuracy as that of complex models while reducing the model size by 4 times. Results are presented on the task of echo state prediction and skill scores for rainfall estimates on the data from Seattle, WA, USA as well as from cross testing the model, trained on Seattle data, on unseen data from Albany, NY, USA.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Ballas, N., Yao, L., Pal, C., Courville, A.C.: Delving deeper into convolutional networks for learning video representations. CoRR abs/1511.06432 (2015). http://arxiv.org/abs/1511.06432
Bowler, N.E., Pierce, C.E., Seed, A.: Development of a precipitation nowcasting algorithm based upon optical flow techniques. J. Hydrol. 288(1), 74–91 (2004)
Hochreiter, S., Schmidhuber, J.: Long short-term memory. Neural Comput. 9(8), 1735–1780 (1997)
Ji, S., Xu, W., Yang, M., Yu, K.: 3D convolutional neural networks for human action recognition. IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell. 35(1), 221–231 (2013)
Li, L., Schmid, W., Joss, J.: Nowcasting of motion and growth of precipitation with radar over a complex orography. J. Appl. Meteorol. 34(6), 1286–1300 (1995)
Mandapaka, P.V., Germann, U., Panziera, L., Hering, A.: Can lagrangian extrapolation of radar fields be used for precipitation nowcasting over complex alpine orography? Weather Forecast. 27(1), 28–49 (2012). http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00050.1
Marshall, J.S., Palmer, W.M.K.: The distribution of raindrops with size. J. Meteorol. 5(4), 165–166 (1948)
Pinheiro, P.H., Collobert, R.: Recurrent convolutional neural networks for scene labeling. In: ICML, pp. 82–90 (2014)
Shi, X., Chen, Z., Wang, H., Yeung, D., Wong, W., Woo, W.: Convolutional LSTM network: a machine learning approach for precipitation nowcasting. CoRR (2015). http://arxiv.org/abs/1506.04214
Tieleman, T., Hinton, G.: Lecture 6.5-rmsprop: divide the gradient by a running average of its recent magnitude. COURSERA: Neural Netw. Mach. Learn. 4, 2 (2012)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Singh, S., Sarkar, S., Mitra, P. (2017). Leveraging Convolutions in Recurrent Neural Networks for Doppler Weather Radar Echo Prediction. In: Cong, F., Leung, A., Wei, Q. (eds) Advances in Neural Networks - ISNN 2017. ISNN 2017. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10262. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59081-3_37
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59081-3_37
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-59080-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-59081-3
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)