Abstract
When considering evacuation center plans for earthquake disasters, it is necessary to know how many people will evacuate in each stage after the disaster over the long term. In this paper, by using mobile phone GPS data and tsunami survey data for the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake Tsunami disaster, we developed a home-return model. The model can estimate the rate of people who will have returned home any number of days after an earthquake disaster. As a result, we obtained high the root-mean-square error (RMSE) accuracy of the model. The study leads to a new understanding of the quantitative relationship between people returning home after evacuation and local vulnerability and tsunami hazards.
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We would like to thank CSIS (joint research No. 448) and ZENRIN DataCom Co., LTD for providing the Congestion Analysis®.
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Ogawa, Y., Sato, T., Akiyama, Y., Shibasaki, R., Sekimoto, Y. (2018). Developing a Model for Estimating the Home Return of Evacuees Based on the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake Tsunami—Utilizing Mobile Phone GPS Big Data. In: Bungartz, HJ., Kranzlmüller, D., Weinberg, V., Weismüller, J., Wohlgemuth, V. (eds) Advances and New Trends in Environmental Informatics. Progress in IS. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99654-7_15
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99654-7_15
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