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A Hybrid Algorithm for Combining Forecasting Based on AFTER-PSO

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PRICAI 2004: Trends in Artificial Intelligence (PRICAI 2004)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 3157))

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Abstract

A novel hybrid algorithm based on the AFTER (Aggregated forecast through exponential re-weighting) and the modified particle swarm optimization (PSO) is proposed. The combining weights in the hybrid algorithm are trained by the modified PSO. The linear constraints are added in the PSO to ensure that the sum of the combining weights is equal to one. Simulated results on the prediction of the stocks data show the effectiveness of the hybrid algorithm.

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References

  1. Bates, J.N., Granger, C.W.J.: The combination of forecasts. Operations Research Quarterly 20, 319–325 (1969)

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© 2004 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Feng, X., Liang, Y., Sun, Y., Lee, H.P., Zhou, C., Wang, Y. (2004). A Hybrid Algorithm for Combining Forecasting Based on AFTER-PSO. In: Zhang, C., W. Guesgen, H., Yeap, WK. (eds) PRICAI 2004: Trends in Artificial Intelligence. PRICAI 2004. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 3157. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-28633-2_105

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-28633-2_105

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-22817-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-28633-2

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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