Skip to main content

Modelling of Chaotic Systems with Novel Weighted Recurrent Least Squares Support Vector Machines

  • Conference paper

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNCS,volume 3173))

Abstract

This paper discusses the use of Support Vector Machines(SVM) for dynamic modelling of the chaotic time series. Based on Recurrent Least Squares Support Vector Machines (RLS-SVM), a weighted term is introduced to the cost function to compensate the prediction errors resulting from the positive global Lyapunov exponent in context of the chaotic time series. For demonstrating the effectiveness of our algorithm, the dynamic invariants involves the Lyapunov exponent and the correlation dimension are used for criterions. Finally we apply our method to Santa Fe competition time series. The simulation results shows that the proposed method can capture the dynamics of the chaotic time series effectively.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Brillinger, D.R.: Time series, Data Analysis and Theory. McGraw-hill, New York (1981)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  2. Li, K.P., Chen, T.L.: Phase Space Prediction Model Based on the Chaotic Attractor. Chin.Phys.Lett. 19(7), 904–907 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Casdagli, M.: Nonlinear Prediction of Chaotic Time Series. Physica D 35, 335–356 (1989)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  4. GanPcay, R.: A Statistical Framework for Testing Chaotic Dynamics Via Lyapunov Exponents. Physica D 89, 261–266 (1996)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  5. Lapedes, A., Farber, R.: Nonlinear Signal Processing Using Neural Networks, Los Alamos National Laboratory, LA-UR-87-2662 (1987)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Vapnik, V.: The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory. Springer, N.Y (1995)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  7. Suykens, J.A.K. (ed.): Least Squares Support Vector Machines. World Scientific, Singapore (2002)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  8. Suykens, J.A.K. (ed.): Recurrent Least Squares Support Vector Machines. IEEE Tran. on Circuits and System-I: Fundamental Theory and Applications, 47(7), 1109–1114 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Takens, F.: Detecting Strange Attractors in Fluid Turbulence. In: Rand, D., Young, L.S. (eds.) Dynamical systems and turbulence, pp. 366–381. Springer, Berlin (1981)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  10. Wolf, A.: Determining Lyapunov Exponents from a Time Series. Physica D 16, 285–317 (1985)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. Grassberger, P., Procaccia, I.: Characterization of Strange Attractors. Physical Review Letters 50(5), 346–349 (1983)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  12. Thomsen, J.: Vibrations and Stability. McGraw-Hill, London (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Weigend, A.S., Gershenfeld, N.A.: Time Series Prediction: Forecasting the Future and Understanding the Past. Addison-Wesley, Reading (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Cao, L.: Practical Method for Determining the Minimum Embedding Dimension of a Scalar Time Series. Physica D, 43–50 (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Fraser, A.M., Swinney, H.L.: Independent Coordinates for Strange Attractors from Mutual Information. Phys. Rev. A 33, 1134–1140 (1986)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2004 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Sun, J., Zhang, T., Liu, H. (2004). Modelling of Chaotic Systems with Novel Weighted Recurrent Least Squares Support Vector Machines. In: Yin, FL., Wang, J., Guo, C. (eds) Advances in Neural Networks – ISNN 2004. ISNN 2004. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 3173. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-28647-9_95

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-28647-9_95

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-22841-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-28647-9

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics