Abstract
It is known that stoppage times at signalized intersections cause the biggest errors in bus arrival time prediction for real-time Bus Information System (BIS) services and no particular method is proven successful so far. This study developed a prediction method that compares the predicted bus travel times from bus stop to the stop line at signalized intersections by using Kalman filtering technique with the state of green time indications of traffic signals, and then incorporates possible stoppage into a next link travel times. From field surveys and in-lab simulation, the proposed method was found superior to other conventional techniques showing an average of more than 200% improvement in prediction accuracy.
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References
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Grewal, M.S., Andrews, A.P.: Kalman Filtering Theory and Practice. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs (1993)
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© 2004 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
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Son, B., Kim, H.J., Shin, CH., Lee, SK. (2004). Bus Arrival Time Prediction Method for ITS Application. In: Negoita, M.G., Howlett, R.J., Jain, L.C. (eds) Knowledge-Based Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems. KES 2004. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 3215. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30134-9_13
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-30134-9_13
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Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
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