Abstract
Ecosystem models are used to interpret and predict the interactions of species and their environment. In this paper, we address the task of inducing ecosystem models from background knowledge and time-series data, and we review IPM, an algorithm that addresses this problem. We demonstrate the system’s ability to construct ecosystem models on two different Earth science data sets. We also compare its behavior with that produced by a more conventional autoregression method. In closing, we discuss related work on model induction and suggest directions for further research on this topic.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Arrigo, K.R., Worthen, D.L., Robinson, D.H.: A coupled ocean-ecosystem model of the Ross Sea. Part 2: Phytoplankton taxonomic variability and primary production. Journal of Geophysical Research (in press)
Box, G.E.P., Cox, D.R.: An analysis of transformations. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 26, 211–252 (1964)
Bradley, E., Easley, M., Stolle, R.: Reasoning about nonlinear system identification. Artificial Intelligence 133, 139–188 (2001)
Josephson, J.R.: Smart inductive generalizations are abductions. In: Flach, P.A., Kakas, A.C. (eds.) Abduction and induction, Kluwer, Dordrecht (2000)
Jost, C., Adiriti, R.: Identifying predator-prey processes from time-series. Theoretical Population Biology 57, 325–337 (2000)
Koza, J., Mydlowec, W., Lanza, G., Yu, J., Keane, M.: Reverse engineering and automatic synthesis of metabolic pathways from observed data using genetic programming. In: Pacific Symposium on Biocomputing, vol. 6, pp. 434–445 (2001)
Langley, P., George, D., Bay, S., Saito, K.: Robust induction of process models from time-series data. In: Proceedings of the Twentieth International Conference on Machine Learning, AAAI Press, Washington (in press)
Luenberger, D.G.: Linear and nonlinear programming. Addison- Wesley, Reading (1984)
Morris, W.F.: Disentangling effects of induced plant defenses and food quantity on herbivores by fitting nonlinear models. American Naturalist 150, 299–327 (1997)
Richmond, B., Peterson, S., Vescuso, P.: An academic user’s guide to STELLA. Lyme, NH: High Performance Systems (1987)
Rumelhart, D.E., Hinton, G.E., Williams, R.J.: Learning internal representations by error propagation. In: Rumelhart, D.E., McClelland, J.L. (eds.) Parallel distributed processing, MIT Press, Cambridge (1986)
Saito, K., Nakano, R.: Law discovery using neural networks. In: Proceedings of the Fifteenth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pp. 1078–1083. Morgan Kaufmann, Yokohama (1997)
Schneider, T., Neumaier, A.: Algorithm 808: ARFIT – A Matlab package for the estimation of parameters and eigenmodes of multivariate autoregressive models. ACM Transactions on Mathematical Software 27, 58–65 (2001)
Todorovski, L., Džeroski, S.: Declarative bias in equation discovery. In: Proceedings of the Fourteenth International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 376–384. Morgan Kaufmann, San Francisco (1997)
Veilleux, B.G.: An analysis of the predatory interaction between Paramecium and Didinium. Journal of Animal Ecology 48, 787–803 (1979)
Washio, T., Motoda, H., Niwa, Y.: Enhancing the plausibility of law equation discovery. In: Proceedings of the Seventeenth International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 1127–1134. Morgan Kaufmann, Stanford (2000)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2003 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
George, D., Saito, K., Langley, P., Bay, S., Arrigo, K.R. (2003). Discovering Ecosystem Models from Time-Series Data. In: Grieser, G., Tanaka, Y., Yamamoto, A. (eds) Discovery Science. DS 2003. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 2843. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-39644-4_13
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-39644-4_13
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-20293-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-39644-4
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive