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Technical and Fundamental Analysis for the Forecast of Financial Scrip Quotation: An Approach Employing Artificial Neural Networks and Wavelet Transform

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Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 4493))

Abstract

This paper presents a method for predicting nonlinear time series. It is based on the multiscale filtering, fundamental and technical model and artificial neural networks. In the technical model we used wavelet transform for disjoin the time series trends then to smooth the economic time series by multiscale filtering. We used too the fundamental analysis, that is, financial and macroeconomics variables to improve the network forecasting. The results were compared with the technical analysis showing that the multiscale filtering and addition of the fundamental variables increase the network forecasting ability.

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Derong Liu Shumin Fei Zengguang Hou Huaguang Zhang Changyin Sun

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© 2007 Springer Berlin Heidelberg

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da Silva Soares, A., Veludo de Paiva, M.S., José Coelho, C. (2007). Technical and Fundamental Analysis for the Forecast of Financial Scrip Quotation: An Approach Employing Artificial Neural Networks and Wavelet Transform. In: Liu, D., Fei, S., Hou, Z., Zhang, H., Sun, C. (eds) Advances in Neural Networks – ISNN 2007. ISNN 2007. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 4493. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72395-0_125

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72395-0_125

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-72394-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-72395-0

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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