Skip to main content

A Stock Portfolio Selection Method through Fuzzy Delphi

  • Conference paper

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 5264))

Abstract

The evaluation and selection of stocks is one of the most important decision issues for stock market managers. Owing to vague concept frequently represented in decision data, an agent-based decision-making approach is proposed to solve the stock portfolio selection problem. In the proposed method, the experts’ opinions are described by trapezoidal fuzzy numbers, and the Fuzzy Delphi method is adopted to adjust each expert’s opinion to achieve the consensus condition. Finally, a practical example of stock portfolio selection in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) is demonstrated its engineering. The results show that the method is flexible and credible in stock market decision-making.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Yang, C.W., Huang, K.S., Yu, G., Jan, D.Y.: Using queuing theory to estimate the storage space of stocker in automated material handling systems. In: Semiconductor Manufacturing Technology Workshop, pp. 102–104 (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Tseng, C.C.: Portfolio management using hybrid recommendation system. In: IEEE International Conference on e-Technology, e-Commerce and e-Service, pp. 202–206 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Kendall, G., Su, Y.: A multi-agent based simulated stock market - testing on different types of stocks. Evolutionary Computation 4, 2298–2305 (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Lee, J.W., Hong, E., Park, J.: A Q-learning based approach to design of intelligent stock trading agents. In: IEEE International Engineering Management Conference, vol. 3, pp. 1289–1292 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Pandey, V., Ng, W.K., Lim, E.P.: Financial advisor agent in a multi-agent financial trading system. In: 11th International Workshop on Database and Expert Systems Applications, pp. 482–486 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  6. French, S.: Decision Theory, England (1986)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Herrera, F., Viedma, E.H., Verdegay, I.L.: A linguistic decision process in group decision making. Group Decision Negotiation 5, 165–176 (1996)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Herrera, F., Viedma, E.H., Verdegay, J.L.: Choice processes for non-homogeneous goup declsion making in linguistic setting. Fuzzy Sets and System 94, 287–308 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Selker, T.: A teaching agent that learns. Communications of the ACM 37, 92–99 (1994)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Bui, T., Lee, J.: An agent-based framework for building decision support systems. Decision Support Systems 25, 225–237 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Jennings, N., Wooldridge, M.: Software Agents. IEEE Review, 17–20 (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Merwe, J.V.D., Solms, S.H.V.: Electronic commerce with secure intelligent trade agents. Computers & security 17, 435–446 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Zadeh, L.A.: Fuzzy Sets. Information and Control 8, 338–353 (1965)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  14. Cheng, C.H., Lin, Y.: Evaluating the best main battle tank using fuzzy decision theory with linguistic criteria evaluation. European journal of operation research 142, 174–176 (2002)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Ngai, E.W.T., Wat, F.K.T.: Design and development of a fuzzy expert system for hotel selection. Omega (The International Journal of Management Science) 31, 275–286 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Fasanghari, M., Montazer, G.A. (2008). A Stock Portfolio Selection Method through Fuzzy Delphi. In: Sun, F., Zhang, J., Tan, Y., Cao, J., Yu, W. (eds) Advances in Neural Networks - ISNN 2008. ISNN 2008. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 5264. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-87734-9_70

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-87734-9_70

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-87733-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-87734-9

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics