Abstract
To develop measures for minimizing human damage from a devastating earthquake, it is important to understand the characteristics of the population and its spatio-temporal distribution in an urban area. In the present paper, a model is constructed that simulates the route selection behavior and the transfer choices of railroad users using a geographic information system. The spatio-temporal distribution of users is estimated by applying the model to the Tokyo metropolitan area, using data collected in a person-trip survey. Some numerical examples using the proposed model are shown for detailed disaster prevention planning. In particular, the number and the spatio-temporal distribution of people with difficulty returning home are discussed.
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Osaragi, T. (2009). Estimating Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Railroad Users and Its Application to Disaster Prevention Planning. In: Sester, M., Bernard, L., Paelke, V. (eds) Advances in GIScience. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-00318-9_12
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-00318-9_12
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