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Insolvency Prediction of Irish Companies Using Backpropagation and Fuzzy ARTMAP Neural Networks

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Enterprise Information Systems (ICEIS 2009)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing ((LNBIP,volume 24))

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Abstract

This study explores experimentally the potential of BPNNs and Fuzzy ARTMAP neural networks to predict insolvency of Irish firms. We used financial information for Irish companies for a period of six years, preprocessed properly in order to be used with neural networks. Prediction results show that with certain network parameters the Fuzzy ARTMAP model outperforms BPNN. It outperforms also self-organising feature maps as reported by other studies that use the same dataset. Accuracy of predictions was validated by ROC analysis, AUC metrics, and leave-one-out cross-validation.

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© 2009 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

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Nachev, A., Hill, S., Stoyanov, B. (2009). Insolvency Prediction of Irish Companies Using Backpropagation and Fuzzy ARTMAP Neural Networks. In: Filipe, J., Cordeiro, J. (eds) Enterprise Information Systems. ICEIS 2009. Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, vol 24. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-01347-8_24

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-01347-8_24

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-01346-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-01347-8

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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