Abstract
This paper presents the design of a fuzzy algebra model and the implementation of its corresponding Intelligent System (IS). The System is capable of estimating the risk due to extreme disaster phenomena and especially due to natural hazards. Based on the considered risk parameters, an equal number of fuzzy sets are defined. For all of the defined fuzzy sets trapezoidal membership functions are used for the production of the partial risk indices. The fuzzy sets are aggregated to a single one that encapsulates the overall degree of risk. The aggregation operation is performed in several different ways by using various Fuzzy Relations. The degree of membership of each case to an aggregated fuzzy set is the final overall degree of risk. The IS has been applied in the problem of torrential risk estimation, with data from river Evros. The compatibility of the system to existing models has been tested and also the results obtained by two distinct fuzzy approaches have been compared.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Turban, E., Aronson, J.: Decision support systems and Intelligent systems, 5th edn. Prentice Hall, New Jersey (1998)
Carlsson, C., Fuller, R.: Fuzzy Reasoning in Decision-Making and Optimization, 1st edn. Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg (2001) (Studies in Fuzziness and soft computing)
Huang, C.F., Moraga, C.: A fuzzy risk model and its matrix algorithm. International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge –based systems 10(4), 347–362 (2002)
Iliadis, L., Spartalis, S.: Fundamental fuzzy Relation Concepts of a D.S.S. for the estimation of Natural Disasters risk (The case of a trapezoidal membership function). Journal of Mathematical and Computer modelling 42, 747–758 (2005)
Kaloudis, S., Tocatlidou, A., Lorentzos, N., Sideridis, A., Karteris, M.: Assessing Wildfire Destruction Danger: a Decision Support System incorporating uncertainty. Journal Ecological Modelling 181(1), 25–38 (2005)
Loboda, T.V., Csiszar, I.: University of Maryland USA. Assessing the risk of ignition in the russian far east within a modeling framework of fire threat. Ecological Applications 17(3), 791–805 (2007)
Iliadis, L., Maris, F., Marinos, D.: A decision support system using fuzzy relations for the estimation of long-term torrential risk of mountainous watersheds: The case of river Evros. In: Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Eastern Mediterranean Geology, Thessaloniki, Greece (2004)
Gavrilovic, S.: Inzenjering o bujicnim tovoklima i eroziji. Beograd (1972)
Kotoulas, D.: Management of Torrents I. Publications of the University of Thessaloniki, Greece (1997)
Leondes, C.T.: fuzzy logic and Expert systems Applications. Academic Press, California (1998)
Kandel, A.: Fuzzy Expert systems. CRC Press, USA (1992)
Zadeh, L.A.: Fuzzy logic Computing with words. IEEE Trans. fuzzy systems 4(2), 103–111 (1996)
Kecman, V.: Learning and soft computing. MIT Press. London (2001)
Kotoulas, D.: Research on the characteristics of torrential streams in Greece, as a causal factor for the decline of mountainous watersheds and flooding, Thessaloniki, Greece (1987)
Stefanidis, P.: The torrent problems in Mediterranean Areas (example from Greece). In: Proc. XXIUFRO Congress, Finland (1995)
Viessman, J.W., Levis, G.L., Knappt, J.W.: Introduction to Hydrology. Harper and Raw Publishers, New York (1989)
Cox, E.: The fuzzy systems Handbook, 2nd edn. Academic Press, New York (1999)
Dubois, D., Prade, H., Yager, R.: Fuzzy Information Engineering. John Wiley and sons, New York (1996)
Nguyen, H.E., Walker, E.: A First Course in fuzzy logic. Chapman and Hall, Library of the Congress, USA (2000)
Cox, E.: Fuzzy modeling and Genetic Algorithms for data Mining and Exploration. Elsevier, USA (2005)
De Cock, M.: Representing the Adverb Very in fuzzy set Theory. In: Proceedings of the ESSLLI Student Session, Ch.19 (1999)
Calvo, T., Mayor, G., Mesira, R.: Aggragation Operators: New Trends and Applications (Studies in Fuzziness and soft computing). Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg (2002)
Fan, Z., Ma, P., Zhang, J.Q.: An approach to multiple attribute decision-making based on fuzzy preference information on alternatives. Fuzzy sets and systems 131(1), 101–106 (2002)
Iliadis, L.: Intelligent Systems and applications in risk estimation (Book in Greek). Stamoulh publishing co, Thessaloniki (2007)
Date, C.J.: An Introduction to database systems. Addison-Wesley, New York (2007)
Coppin, B.: Artificial Intelligence Illuminated Jones and Bartlett Publishers USA (2004)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2009 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Iliadis, L.S., Spartalis, S. (2009). Intelligent Fuzzy Reasoning for Flood Risk Estimation in River Evros. In: Palmer-Brown, D., Draganova, C., Pimenidis, E., Mouratidis, H. (eds) Engineering Applications of Neural Networks. EANN 2009. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 43. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-03969-0_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-03969-0_6
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-03968-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-03969-0
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)