Abstract
There are basic social and cultural structures and processes that influence effects-based outcomes. When populations experience a miss-match of sociocultural factors that influence expectations and intentions, this can trigger an affective reaction – strong enough to measure and possibly forecast. This paper provides a framework for modeling the emergent behaviors between populations with conflicting values and intentions.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsPreview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Hogg, M.A., Tindale, R.S. (eds.): Blackwell Handbook of Social Psychology: Group Processes. Blackwell Publishing, London (2003)
Lennox, M.G.R.: Modeling and Simulation in an Era of Persistent Conflict. Headquarters, Depart-ment of the Army G-3/5 Strategic Plans, Concepts, & Doctrine Division (2007)
Phillips, C.L., Geddes, N., Kanareykin, S.: A Balanced Approach for LLOs Using Group Dynamics for COIN Efficacy. In: Proceedings of the 2nd International Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics Conference, Las Vegas NV, July 14-17 (2008)
Army Field Manual, Counterinsurgency. FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5 (2006)
Geddes, N.D., Atkinson, M.L.: An approach to modeling group behaviors and beliefs in con-flict situations. In: Liu, H., Salerno, J.J., Young, M.J. (eds.) Social Computing, Behavioral Modeling, and Prediction, pp. 46–56. Springer, New York (2008)
MacNulty, C.A.R.: Truth, Perception & Consequences. Proteus Monograph Series, Army War College 1(1) (November 2007)
Phillips, C.L., Geddes, N., Crosscope, J.: Bayesian Modeling using Belief Nets of Perceived Threat Levels Affected by Stratagemical Behavior Pattern. In: Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Cultural Computational Dynamics, Washington, D.C., September 15-16 (2008)
Geddes, N.D.: A model for intent interpretation for multiple agents with conflicts. In: Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, SMC 1994, San Antonio, TX (1994)
Cialdini, R.: Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion. Collins Pub., NY (1998)
Phillips, C., Sokoloff, S., Crosscope, J., Geddes, N.: A Validation Process for Predicting Stratagemical Behavior Patterns of Powerful Leaders in Conflict. In: Proceedings of the 2nd International Workshop on Social Computing, Behavior Modeling, and Prediction, Phoenix, AZ, March 31-April 1 (2009)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2010 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Phillips, C.L., Geddes, N.D. (2010). Expressing Effects-Based Outcomes from Patterns of Emergent Population Behaviors. In: Chai, SK., Salerno, J.J., Mabry, P.L. (eds) Advances in Social Computing. SBP 2010. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 6007. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12079-4_38
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12079-4_38
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-12078-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-12079-4
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)