Skip to main content

Meteorological Phenomena Forecast Using Data Mining Prediction Methods

  • Conference paper
Computational Collective Intelligence. Technologies and Applications (ICCCI 2011)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 6922))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

The occurrence of various meteorological phenomena, such as fog or low cloud cover, has significant impact on many human activities as air or ship transport operations. The management of air traffic at the airports was the main reason to design effective mechanisms for timely prediction of these phenomena. In both these cases meteorologists already use some physical models based on differential equations as simulations. Our goal was to design, implement and evaluate a different approach based on suitable techniques and methods from data mining domain. The selected algorithms were applied on obtained historical data from meteorological observations at several airports in United Arab Emirates and Slovakia. In the first case, the fog occurrence was predicted based on data from METAR messages with algorithms based on neural networks and decision trees. The low cloud cover was forecasted at the national Slovak airport in Bratislava with decision trees. The whole data mining process was managed by CRISP-DM methodology, one of the most accepted in this domain.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Zazzaro, G., Pisano, F.M., Mercogliano, P.: Data Mining to Classify Fog Events by Applying Cost-Sensitive Classifier. In: International Conference on Complex, Intelligent and Software Intensive Systems 2010, pp. 1093–1098 (2010) ISBN 978-1-4244-5917-9

    Google Scholar 

  2. Ebecken, F.F.: Fog Formation Prediction In Coastal Regions Using Data Mining Techniques. In: International Conference On Environmental Coastal Regions, Cancun, Mexico, vol. (2), pp. 165–174 (1998) ISBN 1-85312-527-X

    Google Scholar 

  3. Acosta, G., Tosini, M.: A Firmware Digital Neural Network for Climate Prediction Applications. In: Proceedings of IEEE International Symposium on Intelligent Control 2001, Mexico City, Mexico (2001) ISBN 0-7803-6722-7

    Google Scholar 

  4. Koskela, T., Lehtokangas, M., Saarinen, J., Kaski, K.: Time Series Prediction With Multilayer Perceptron, FIR and Elman Neural Networks. In: Proceedings of the World Congress on Neural Networks, pp. 491–496. INNS Press, San Diego (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Fabbian, D., de Dear, R., Lellyett, S.: Application of Artificial Neural Network Forecasts to Predict Fog at Canberra International Airport. Weather and Forecasting 22(2), 372–381 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Weymouth, G.T., et al.: Dealing with uncertainty in fog forecasting for major airports in Australia. In: 4thConference on Fog, Fog Collection and Dew, La Serena, Chile, pp. 73–76 (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Radhika, Y., Shashi, M.: Atmospheric Temperature Prediction Using SVM. International Journal of Computer Theory and Engineering 1(1), 1793–8201 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Gultepe, I., Müller, M.D., Boybeyi, Z.: A new visibility parameterization for warm fog applications in numerical weather prediction models. J. Appl. Meteor. 45, 1469–1480 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Bott, A., Trautmann, T.: PAFOG - a new efficient forecast model of radiation fog and low-level stratiform clouds. Atmos. Research 64, 191–203 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. COST 722 - Short range forecasting methods of fog, visibility and low clouds. Final Report, COST Office, Brussels, Belgium (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Rehm, F.: Prediction of Aircraft Delay at Frankfurt Airport as a Function of Weather. Presentation from German Aerospace Center, Germany (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Viademonte, S., Burstein, F., Dahni, R., Williams, S.: Discovering Knowledge from Meteorological Databases: A Meteorological Aviation Forecast Study. In: Kambayashi, Y., Winiwarter, W., Arikawa, M. (eds.) DaWaK 2001. LNCS, vol. 2114, pp. 61–70. Springer, Heidelberg (2001)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  13. Hluchý, L., Habala, O., Tran, D.V., Ciglan, M.: Hydro-meteorological scenarios using advanced data mining and integration. In: The Sixth International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery, vol. 7, pp. 260–264. IEEE Computer Society, Los Alamitos (2009) ISBN 978-0-7695-3735-1

    Google Scholar 

  14. Clifton, C.: Encyclopedia Britannica: Definition of Data Mining (2010), http://www.britannica.com

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2011 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Babič, F., Bednár, P., Albert, F., Paralič, J., Bartók, J., Hluchý, L. (2011). Meteorological Phenomena Forecast Using Data Mining Prediction Methods. In: Jędrzejowicz, P., Nguyen, N.T., Hoang, K. (eds) Computational Collective Intelligence. Technologies and Applications. ICCCI 2011. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 6922. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-23935-9_45

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-23935-9_45

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-23934-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-23935-9

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics