Skip to main content

Enhancing Profitability through Interpretability in Algorithmic Trading with a Multiobjective Evolutionary Fuzzy System

  • Conference paper

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 7492))

Abstract

This paper examines the interaction of decision model complexity and utility in a computational intelligence system for algorithmic trading. An empirical analysis is undertaken which makes use of recent developments in multiobjective evolutionary fuzzy systems (MOEFS) to produce and evaluate a Pareto set of rulebases that balance conflicting criteria. This results in strong evidence that controlling portfolio risk and return in this and other similar methodologies by selecting for interpretability is feasible. Furthermore, while investigating these properties we contribute to a growing body of evidence that stochastic systems based on natural computing techniques can deliver results that outperform the market.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Narang, K.: Inside the Black Box The Simple Truth About Algorithmic Trading. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York (2009)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  2. Ghandar, A., Michalewicz, Z., Schmidt, M., To, T.-D., Zurbruegg, R.: Computational intelligence for evolving trading rules. IEEE Trans. Evolutionary Computation 13(1), 71–86 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Ghandar, A., Michalewicz, Z., Zurbruegg, R.: A case for learning simpler rule sets with multiobjective evolutionary algorithms. In: RuleML Europe, pp. 297–304 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Jin, Y., Sendhoff, B.: Pareto-Based Multiobjective Machine Learning: An Overview and Case Studies. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C: Applications and Reviews 38(3), 397–415 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Lee, C.-C.: A self-learning rule-based controller employing approximate reasoning and neural net concepts. International Journal of Intelligent Systems 6(1), 71–93 (1991)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Ray, Ball: Anomalies in relationships between securities’ yields and yield-surrogates. Journal of Financial Economics 6(2-3), 103–126 (1978)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Basu, S.: Investment performance of common stocks in relation to their price-earnings ratios: A test of the efficient market hypothesis. The Journal of Finance 32(3), 663–682 (1977)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Beaver, W., Lambert, R., Morse, D.: The information content of security prices. Journal of Accounting and Economics 2(1), 3–28 (1980)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Bhandari, L.C.: Debt/equity ratio and expected common stock returns: Empirical evidence. The Journal of Finance 43(2), 507–528 (1988)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  10. Barberis, N., Shleifer, A., Vishny, R.: A model of investor sentiment. Journal of Financial Economics 49(3), 307–343 (1998)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Kavajecz, K., Odders-White, E.: Technical Analysis and Liquidity Provision. Rev. Financ. Stud. 17(4), 1043–1071 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Wilder, J.: New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research (1978)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Cordón, O., Gomide, F.A.C., Herrera, F., Hoffmann, F., Magdalena, L.: Genetic fuzzy systems. new developments. Fuzzy Sets and Systems 141(1), 1–3 (2004)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  14. Zitzler, E., Laumanns, M., Thiele, L.: Spea2: Improving the strength pareto evolutionary algorithm. Tech. Rep. (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Fama, E.F.: Components of investment performance. Journal of Finance 27(3), 551–567 (1972)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Ghandar, A., Michalewicz, Z., Zurbruegg, R. (2012). Enhancing Profitability through Interpretability in Algorithmic Trading with a Multiobjective Evolutionary Fuzzy System. In: Coello, C.A.C., Cutello, V., Deb, K., Forrest, S., Nicosia, G., Pavone, M. (eds) Parallel Problem Solving from Nature - PPSN XII. PPSN 2012. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 7492. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32964-7_5

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-32964-7_5

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-32963-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-32964-7

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics