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Ockham’s Razor in Probability Logic

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Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 190))

Abstract

The paper investigates the generalization, the composition, and the chaining of argument forms in conditional probability logic. Adding premises to probabilistic argument forms does not necessarily improve the information transmitted to the conclusions, but quite contrary, usually leads to probabilistic less informative conclusions. Selecting the one or two most relevant premises results in a good Ockham razor in probability logic. The consequences for modeling human uncertain reasoning and human judgment and decision making are discussed.

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Correspondence to Gernot D. Kleiter .

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Kleiter, G.D. (2013). Ockham’s Razor in Probability Logic. In: Kruse, R., Berthold, M., Moewes, C., Gil, M., Grzegorzewski, P., Hryniewicz, O. (eds) Synergies of Soft Computing and Statistics for Intelligent Data Analysis. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 190. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33042-1_44

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-33042-1_44

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-33041-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-33042-1

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