Skip to main content

Hybird Evolutionary Algorithms for Artificial Neural Network Training in Rainfall Forecasting

  • Conference paper

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 7952))

Abstract

This paper investigates the effectiveness of the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Simulated Annealing algorithm (SA) training artificial neural network weights and biases for rainfall forecasting, namely GAS–ANN. Firstly, a hybrid GA and SA method is used to train the begining connection weights and thresholds of ANN. Secondly, the back propagation algorithm is used to search around the global optimum. Finally, a numerical example of monthly rainfall data in a catchment located in a subtropical monsoon climate in Linzhou of China, is used to elucidate the forecasting performance of the proposed GASA–ANN model. The forecasting results indicate that the proposed model yields more accurate forecasting results than the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), back–propagation neural network (BP–NN) and pure Genetic Algorithm training Artificial Neural Network model (GA–ANN). Therefore, the GASA–ANN model is a promising alternative for rainfall forecasting.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Wu, J., Liu, M.Z., Jin, L.: A Hybrid Support Vector Regression Approach for Rainfall Forecasting Using Particle Swarm Optimization and Projection Pursuit Technology. International Journal of Computational Intelligence and Applications 9(3), 87–104 (2010)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  2. Wu, J., Jin, L.: Study on the Meteorological Prediction Model Using the Learning Algorithm of Neural Networks Ensemble Based on PSO agorithm. Journal of Tropical Meteorology 15(1), 83–88 (2009)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  3. Wu, J.: Prediction of Rainfall Time Series Using Modular RBF Neural Network Model Coupled with SSA and PLS. In: Pan, J.-S., Chen, S.-M., Nguyen, N.T. (eds.) ACIIDS 2012, Part II. LNCS, vol. 7197, pp. 509–518. Springer, Heidelberg (2012)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  4. Nourani, V., Kisi, Ö., Komasi, M.: Two Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Approaches for Modeling Rainfall–runoff Process. Journal of Hydrology 402, 41–59 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Wu, J.: An Effective Hybrid Semi–Parametric Regression Strategy for Rainfall Forecasting Combining Linear and Nonlinear Regression. International Journal of Applied Evolutionary Computation 2(4), 50–65 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Yu, J., Wang, S., Xi, L.: Evolving Artificial Neural Networks Using an Improved PSO and DPSO. Neurocomputing 71(4–6), 1054–1060 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Kiranyaz, S., Ince, T., Yildirim, A., Gabbouja, M.: Evolutionary Artificial Neural Networks by Multi–dimensional Particle Swarm Optimization. Neural Networks 22, 1448–1462 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Wu, J.: A Semiparametric Regression Ensemble Model for Rainfall Forecasting Based on RBF Neural Network. In: Wang, F.L., Deng, H., Gao, Y., Lei, J. (eds.) AICI 2010, Part II. LNCS, vol. 6320, pp. 284–292. Springer, Heidelberg (2010)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  9. Rogers, A., Prü-Bennett, A.: Genetic Drift in Genetic Algorithm Selection Schemes. IEEE Transaction Evoling of Computation 3(4), 298–303 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Eglese, R.W.: Simulated annealing: A Tool for Operation Research. European Journal of Operational Research 46, 271–281 (1990)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  11. Wang, K., Yang, J., Shi, G., Wang, Q.: An Expanded Training Set Based Validation Method to Avoid Over Fitting for Neural Network Classifier. In: Fourth International Conference on Natural Computation, vol. 3, pp. 83–87 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Irani, R., Nasimi, R.: Evolving Neural Network Using Real Coded Genetic Algorithm for Permeability Estimation of The Reservoir. Expert Systems with Applications 38, 9862–9866 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Jiang, L., Wu, J. (2013). Hybird Evolutionary Algorithms for Artificial Neural Network Training in Rainfall Forecasting. In: Guo, C., Hou, ZG., Zeng, Z. (eds) Advances in Neural Networks – ISNN 2013. ISNN 2013. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 7952. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-39068-5_44

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-39068-5_44

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-39067-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-39068-5

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics