Abstract
The general-to-specific methodology (also known as the London School of Economics, LSE, methodology) is one of the most widely used methods of econometric model construction. Recently, specification search algorithms that automate some stages of the general-to-specific methodology have been proposed. In this paper we present an enhanced specification search algorithm. Extensions include cointegration analysis and automated construction of Error Correction Models. Although, specification search algo-rithms were originally developed to analyse how well does the LSE modelling approach work in controlled conditions, they are also a valuable tool for empirical research. As an empirical example, an automated construction of a demand function for narrow money in Austria is presented. Results are similar to those obtained in a more traditional way - a stable money demand function is found.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Anderson, E. et al. (1999), Lapack Users’ Guide, Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics.
Dickey, D.A. and Pantula, S.G. (1987), Determining the Order of Differencing in Autoregressive Processes. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 5 455–461.
Ericsson, N.R. (1998), Empirical modeling of money demand, Empirical Economics, 23 295–315.
Ericsson, N.R. and MacKinnon, J.G. (1999), Distribution of Error Correction Tests for Cointegration, International Finance Discussion Paper 655, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Gallasi, M. et al. (forthcoming), GNU Scientific Library Reference Manual. Network Theory Ltd.
Hansen, B.E. (1999), Discussion of “Data mining reconsidered”. Econometrics Journal, 2 26–40.
Hayo, B. (2000), The Demand for Money in Austria. Empirical Economics, 25 581–603.
Hendry, D.F. (1995), On the Interactions of Unit Roots and Exogeneity, Econometric Reviews, 4 383–419.
Hendry, D.F. and Krolzig, H.-M. (1999), Improving on “Data mining reconsidered” by K.D. Hoover and S.J. Perez, Econometric Journal, 2 202–219.
Hoover, K.D. and Perez, S.J. (1999), Data mining reconsidered: Encompassing and the general-to-specific approach to specification search. Econometrics Journal, 2 167–191.
Ihaka, R. and Gentleman, R. (1996), R: A language for data analysis and graphics. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 5 299–314.
Johansen, S. and Juselius, K. (1990), Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration - With Applications to the Demand for Money, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52 169–210.
Krolzig, H.-M. and Hendry, D.F. (2000), Computer automation of generalto-specific model selection procedures. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 25 831–866.
Krolzig, H.-M. (2001), General-to-Specific Reductions of Vector Autoregressive Processes, Friedmann, R., L. Knueppel and H. Luetkepohl (eds.), Econometric Studies - A Festschrift in Honour of Joachim Frohn, Muenster: LIT Verlag, 129–157.
Ocaml. The Objective Caml Language. http://www.ocaml.org/.
Said, S.E and Dickey, D.A. (1985), Testing for unit root in autoregressive moving average models of unknown order. Biometrika, 71 599–608.
Schwartz, G. (1978), Estimating the dimension of a model, Annals of Statistics, 6 461–464.
Whaley, C.R., Petitet A. and Dongarra, J.J., Automated Empirical Optimization of Software and the ATLAS Project, available at http://mathatlas.sourceforge.net/.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2002 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Kurcewicz, M. (2002). ModelBuilder — an Automated General-to-specific Modelling Tool. In: Härdle, W., Rönz, B. (eds) Compstat. Physica, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-57489-4_71
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-57489-4_71
Publisher Name: Physica, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-7908-1517-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-57489-4
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive