Abstract
One of the major challenges of social simulations is the validation of the models. When modeling societies, where experimentation is not practical or ethical, validation of models is inherently difficult. However, one of the significant strengths of the agent-based modeling (ABM) approach is that it begins with the implementation of a theory of behavior for relatively low-level agents and then produces high-level behaviors emerging from the low-level theory’s implementation. Our ABM model of societies is based on modeling the decision making of rural households in a 1,600 km (1,000 mile) square around Lake Victoria in East Africa. We report on the first validation of our model of households making their living on a daily basis by comparing resulting activities against societal data collected by anthropologists.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Cioffi-Revilla C (2010) MASON RebeLand and data aspects of agent-based simulation models. In: Schmorrow D, Nicholson D (eds) Advances in cross-cultural decision making. CRC Press-Taylor and Francis, Orlando, pp 291–301
Hailegiorgis AB, Kennedy WG, Catalin Balan G, Bassett JK, Gulden T (2010) An agent based model of climate change and conflict among pastoralists in East Africa. In: Proceedings of the international congress on environmental modeling and software (IEMSS2010), Ottawa
Kennedy WG, Bassett, JK (2011) Implementing a “fast and frugal” cognitive model within a computational social simulation. In: Proceedings of the second annual conference of the Computational Social Science Society of the Americas CSSSA-2011, Santa Fe
Kennedy WG, Gulden T, Hailegiorgis AB, Bassett JK, Coletti M, Catalin Balan G, Clark M, Cioffi-Revilla C (2010) An agent-based model of conflict in East Africa and the effect of the privatization of land. In: Proceedings of the third world congress on social simulation WCSS-2010, Kassel
Lewis IM (1955) Peoples of the horn of Africa. International African Institute, London
Little PD, McPeak J, Barrett CB, Kristjanson P (2008) Challenging orthodoxies: understanding poverty in pastoral areas of East Africa. Dev Change 39(4):587–611
McCabe JT (2004) Cattle bring us to our enemies. University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor
Luke S, Cioffi-Revilla C, Sullivan K, Catalin Balan G (2005) MASON: a multiagent simulation environment. Simulation 81(7):517–527
Luke S (2012) Multiagent simulation and the MASON library. http://cs.gmu.edu/~eclab/projects/mason/
Cioffi-Revilla C, Crooks A, De Jong K, Gulden T, Kennedy W, Luke S, Coletti M (2012) MASON RiftLand: an agent-based model for analyzing conflicts, disasters, and humanitarian crises in east Africa. Working Paper, Mason-Yale Joint Project on Eastern Africa. Center for Social Complexity, George Mason University, Fairfax
Murdock GP (1966) Ethnographic atlas. Ethnology 5(3):317–345
Murdock GP (1967) Ethnographic atlas: a summary (codes). Int J Cult Soc Anthropol 4:154–169
Vrieling A, de Beurs KM, Brown ME (2011) Variability of African farming systems from phenological analysis of NDVI time series. Clim Change 109(3–4):455–477
Taylor BK (1962) The west Lacustrine Bantu. International African Institute, London
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the Center for Social Complexity at George Mason University and by the Office of Naval Research (ONR) under a Multidisciplinary University Research Initiative (MURI) Grant no. N00014-08-1-0921. The authors thank the members of the Mason-HRAF Joint Project on Eastern Africa (MURI Team), especially Jeffrey K. Bassett, Atesmachew B. Hailegiorgis, Joseph Harrison, and Eric Scott for their comments and discussions. Carol Ember, Ian Skoggard, and Teferi Abate of HRAF provided assistance with the anthropological data. The opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this work are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the sponsors.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2014 Springer Japan
About this paper
Cite this paper
Kennedy, W.G., Cotla, C.R., Gulden, T., Coletti, M., Cioffi-Revilla, C. (2014). Towards Validating a Model of Households and Societies in East Africa. In: Chen, SH., Terano, T., Yamamoto, R., Tai, CC. (eds) Advances in Computational Social Science. Agent-Based Social Systems, vol 11. Springer, Tokyo. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-54847-8_20
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-54847-8_20
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Tokyo
Print ISBN: 978-4-431-54846-1
Online ISBN: 978-4-431-54847-8
eBook Packages: Business and EconomicsEconomics and Finance (R0)