Skip to main content

Air Pollution Forecasting Using Regression Models and LSTM Deep Learning Models for Vietnam

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Communications in Computer and Information Science ((CCIS,volume 1500))

Abstract

In view of prediction techniques of hourly particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration in Viet Nam, this study’s aim is to apply Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (BLSTM) model to predict Air Quality Index (AQI) from PM2.5 concentration. The model is performed on data of hourly concentration of PM2.5 collected from 2 major Viet Nam cities: Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. The performance of BLSTM is evaluated by comparing with machine learning models CART, Random Forest, XGBoost using three metrics: RMSE, MAE and R2. This paper also aims to offer some time series’ parameter optimizations for future studies. Positive results are observed from the experiments that the proposed model outperforms other models by a large margin in all metrics.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   79.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   99.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  1. World Health Organization: More than 60000 deaths in Viet Nam each year linked to air pollution (2018). https://www.who.int/vietnam/news/detail/02-05-2018-more-than-60-000-deaths-in-viet-nam-each-year-linked-to-air-pollution. Accessed Apr 2021

  2. Zannetti, P.: Air pollution modeling: theories, computational methods, and available software. Van Nostrand Reinhold. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-4465-1 (1990)

  3. Zannetti, P.: Air quality modeling: theories, methodologies, computational techniques, and available databases and software. Adv. Updates Air Waste Manag. Assoc. 4, 464–465 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Zdunek, M., Kaminski, J., Struzewska, J.W., Lobocki, L.: MC2-AQ simulations of ground level ozone during cold front passage over Europe – a case study. Geophys. Res. Abstr. 7, 00952 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Kukkonen, J., Partanen, L., Karppinen, A.: Extensive evaluation of neural network models for the prediction of NO2 and PM10 concentrations, compared with a deterministic modelling system and measurements in central Helsinki. Atmosph. Environ. 37(32), 4539–4550 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1016/S1352-2310(03)00583-1

  6. Kurt, A., Gulbagci, B., Karaca, F., Alagha, O.: An online air pollution forecasting system using neural networks. Environ. Int. 34(5), 592–598 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2007.12.020

  7. Ordieresa, J.B., Vergara, E.P., Capuz, R.S.: Neural network prediction model for fine particulate matter (PM2.5) on the USA-Mexico border in El Paso (Texas) and Ciudad Juarez (Chihuahua). Environ. Model. Softw. 20(5), 547–559 (2005). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2004.03.010

  8. Pineda, F.J.: Generalization of back propagation to recurrent networks. Phys. Rev. 59(19), 2229–2232 (1997). https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.59.2229

  9. Qi, Z., Wang, T., Song, G., Hu, W., Li, X., Zhang, Z.: Deep air learning: interpolation, prediction, and feature analysis of fine-grained air quality. IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. 30(12), 2285–2297 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1109/TKDE.2018.2823740

  10. Ma, J., Ding, Y., Gan, V.J.L., Lin, C., Wan, Z: Spatiotemporal prediction of PM2.5 concentrations at different time granularities using IDW-BLSTM. IEEE Access 7, 107897–107907 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2932445

  11. Ma, J., et al.: Air quality prediction at new stations using spatially transferred bi-directional long short-term memory network. Sci. Total Environ. 705, 135771 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135771

  12. Ma. J., Cheng, J.C.P., Lin, C., Tan, Y., Zhang. J.: Improving air quality prediction accuracy at larger temporal resolutions using deep learning and transfer learning techniques. Atmosph. Environ. 214 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2019.116885

  13. Tong, W., Li, L., Zhou, X., Hamilton, A., Zhang, K.: Deep learning PM2.5 concentrations with bidirectional LSTM RNN. Air Qual. Atmosp. Health 12(4), 411–423 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Zivot, E., Wang, J.: Rolling analysis of time series. In: Zivot, E., Wang, J. (eds.) Modeling Financial Time Series with S-Plus. Springer, New York, pp. 313–360 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-32348-0

  15. NVIDIA Developer: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). https://developer.nvidia.com/discover/lstm. Accessed Apr 2021

  16. Fente, D.N., Kumar Singh, D.: Weather forecasting using artificial neural network. In: Second International Conference on Inventive Communication and Computational Technologies (ICICCT), Coimbatore, India, pp. 1757–1761 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1109/ICICCT.2018.8473167

  17. Ojo, S.O., Owolawi, P.A., Mphahlele, M., Adisa, J.A.: Stock market behaviour prediction using stacked LSTM Networks. In: International Multidisciplinary Information Technology and Engineering Conference (IMITEC), Vanderbijlpark, South Africa, pp. 1–5 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1109/IMITEC45504.2019.9015840

  18. Navares, R., Aznarte, J.L.: Predicting air quality with deep learning LSTM: towards comprehensive models. Ecol. Inf. (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2019.101019

  19. Wu, Q., Lin, H.: Daily urban air quality index forecasting based on variational mode decomposition, sample entropy and LSTM neural network. Sustain. Cities Soc. 50, 101657, ISSN 2210–6707 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2019.101657

  20. Graves, A., Schmidhuber, J.: Framewise phoneme classification with bidirectional LSTM and other neural network architectures. Neural Netw. 18(5–6), 602–610 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgement

The authors are very thankful for the support provided by University of Information Technology, Vietnam National University Ho Chi Minh city (VNU-HCM) for the technical and financial support for this study.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Thuan Nguyen Dinh .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2021 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Nguyen Dinh, T., Phan Hoang, N. (2021). Air Pollution Forecasting Using Regression Models and LSTM Deep Learning Models for Vietnam. In: Dang, T.K., Küng, J., Chung, T.M., Takizawa, M. (eds) Future Data and Security Engineering. Big Data, Security and Privacy, Smart City and Industry 4.0 Applications. FDSE 2021. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1500. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-8062-5_18

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-8062-5_18

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore

  • Print ISBN: 978-981-16-8061-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-981-16-8062-5

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics