Skip to main content
Log in

Elliptic entropy of uncertain random variables with application to portfolio selection

  • Methodologies and Application
  • Published:
Soft Computing Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper investigates an elliptic entropy of uncertain random variables and its application in the area of portfolio selection. We first define the elliptic entropy to characterize the uncertainty of uncertain random variables and give some mathematical properties of the elliptic entropy. Then we derive a computational formula to calculate the elliptic entropy of function of uncertain random variables. Furthermore, we use the elliptic entropy to characterize the risk of investment and establish a mean-entropy portfolio selection model, in which the future security returns are described by uncertain random variables. Based on the chance theory, the equivalent form of the mean–entropy model is derived. To show the performance of the mean–entropy portfolio selection model, several numerical experiments are presented. We also numerically compare the mean–entropy model with the mean–variance model, the equi-weighted portfolio model, and the most diversified portfolio model by using three kinds of diversification indices. Numerical results show that the mean-entropy model outperforms the mean–variance model in selecting diversified portfolios no matter of using which diversification index.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ahmadzade H, Gao R (2020) Covariance of uncertain random variables and its application to portfolio optimization. J Ambient Intell Humaniz Comput 11(6):2613–2624

    Google Scholar 

  • Ahmadzade H, Gao R, Dehghan MH, Sheng Y (2017) Partial entropy of uncertain random variables. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 33(1):105–112

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Ahmadzade H, Gao R, Dehghan MH, Ahmadi R (2018) Partial triangular entropy of uncertain random variables and its application. J Ambient Intell Humaniz Comput 9(5):1455–1464

    Google Scholar 

  • Aksarayli M, Pala O (2018) A polynomial goal programming model for portfolio optimization based on entropy and higher moments. Expert Syst Appl 94:185–192

    Google Scholar 

  • Barberis N (2000) Investing for the long run when returns are predictable. J Finance 55(1):225–264

    Google Scholar 

  • Brandt M, Santa-Clara P (2006) Dynamic portfolio selection by augmenting the asset space. J Finance 61(5):2187–2217

    Google Scholar 

  • Brandt M, Goyal A, Santa-Clara P, Stroud J (2005) A simulation approach to dynamic portfolio choice with an application to learning about return predictability. Rev Financ Stud 18(3):831–873

    Google Scholar 

  • Carbone A, Stanley H (2007) Scaling properties and entropy of long-range correlated time series. Physica A 384(1):21–24

    Google Scholar 

  • Cesarone F, Colucci S (2018) Minimum risk versus capital and risk diversification strategies for portfolio construction. J Oper Res Soc 69(2):183–200

    Google Scholar 

  • Cesarone F, Scozzari A, Tardella F (2020) An optimization-diversification approach to portfolio selection. J Global Optim 76(2):245–265

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Chen W, Xu W (2019) A hybrid multiobjective bat algorithm for fuzzy portfolio optimization with real-world constraints. Int J Fuzzy Syst 21(1):291–307

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Chen X, Kar S, Ralescu D (2012) Cross-entropy measure of uncertain variables. Inf Sci 201:53–60

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Chen L, Peng J, Liu Z, Zhao R (2017a) Pricing and effort decisions for a supply chain with uncertain information. Int J Prod Res 55(1):264–284

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen L, Peng J, Zhang B (2017b) Uncertain goal programming models for bicriteria solid transportation problem. Appl Soft Comput 51:49–59

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen L, Peng J, Zhang B, Rosyida I (2017c) Diversified models for portfolio selection based on uncertain semivariance. Int J Syst Sci 48(3):637–648

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Chen W, Wang Y, Zhang J, Lu S (2017d) Uncertain portfolio selection with high-order moments. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 33(3):1397–1411

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Chen L, Peng J, Rao C, Rosyida I (2018a) Cycle index of uncertain random graph. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 34(6):4249–4259

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen W, Wang Y, Gupta P, Mehlawat M (2018b) A novel hybrid heuristic algorithm for a new uncertain mean-variance-skewness portfolio selection model with real constraints. Appl Intell 48(9):2996–3018

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen W, Li D, Lu S, Liu W (2019) Multi-period mean-semivariance portfolio optimization based on uncertain measure. Soft Comput 23(15):6231–6247

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Cheng L, Rao C, Chen L (2017) Multidimensional knapsack problem based on uncertain measure. Sci Iran Trans E Ind Eng 24(5):2527–2539

    Google Scholar 

  • Choueifaty Y, Coignard Y (2008) Toward maximum diversification. J Portf Manag 34(4):40–51

    Google Scholar 

  • Choueifaty Y, Froidure T, Reynier J (2013) Properties of the most diversified portfolio. J Invest Strateg 2(2):49–70

    Google Scholar 

  • Dai W (2018) Quadratic entropy of uncertain variables. Soft Comput 22(17):5699–5706

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Dai W, Chen X (2012) Entropy of function of uncertain variables. Math Comput Modell 55(3–4):754–760

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • DeMiguel V, Garlappi L, Uppal R (2009) Optimal versus naive diversification: how inefficient is the 1/N portfolio strategy? Rev Financ Stud 22(5):1915–1953

    Google Scholar 

  • Deng X, Pan X (2018) The research and comparison of multi-objective portfolio based on intuitionistic fuzzy optimization. Comput Ind Eng 124:411–421

    Google Scholar 

  • Deng X, Song J, Zhao J, Li Z (2018a) The fuzzy tri-objective mean-semivariance-entropy portfolio model with layer-by-layer tolerance evaluation method paper. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 35(2):2391–2401

    Google Scholar 

  • Deng X, Zhao J, Li Z (2018b) Sensitivity analysis of the fuzzy mean-entropy portfolio model with transaction costs based on credibility theory. Int J Fuzzy Syst 20(1):209–218

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Froidure T, Jalalzai K, Choueifaty Y (2019) Portfolio rho-presentativity. Int J Theor Appl Finance 22(7):1–52

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Gao R, Ralescu D (2018) Elliptic entropy of uncertain set and its applications. Int J Intell Syst 33(4):836–857

    Google Scholar 

  • Gao R, Zhang Z (2020) Analysis of green supply chain considering green degree and sales effort with uncertain demand. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 38(4):4247–4264

    Google Scholar 

  • Gao J, Yang X, Liu D (2017) Uncertain Shapley value of coalitional game with application to supply chain alliance. Appl Soft Comput 56:551–556

    Google Scholar 

  • Gao X, Jia L, Kar S (2018) A new definition of cross-entropy for uncertain variables. Soft Comput 22(17):5617–5623

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Gupta P, Mehlawat M, Yadav S, Kumar A (2019) A polynomial goal programming approach for intuitionistic fuzzy portfolio optimization using entropy and higher moments. Appl Soft Comput 85:1–29

    Google Scholar 

  • Gupta P, Mehlawat M, Yadav S, Kumar A (2020) Intuitionistic fuzzy optimistic and pessimistic multi-period portfolio optimization models. Soft Comput 24(16):11931–11956

    Google Scholar 

  • Horvath J (1970) Suggestion for a comprehensive measure of concentration. South Econ J 36(4):446–452

    Google Scholar 

  • Huang X (2008) Mean-entropy models for fuzzy portfolio selection. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 16(4):1096–1101

    Google Scholar 

  • Huang X (2012) An entropy method for diversified fuzzy portfolio selection. Int J Fuzzy Syst 14(1):160–165

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Jaynes E (1957) Information theory and statistical mechanics. Phys Rev 106(4):620–630

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Jia L, Yang X, Gao X (2018) A new definition of cross entropy for uncertain random variables and its application. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 35(1):1193–1204

    Google Scholar 

  • Kar M, Majumder S, Kar S (2017) Cross-entropy based multi-objective uncertain portfolio selection problem. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 32(6):4467–4483

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kullback S, Leibler R (1951) On information and sufficiency. Ann Math Stat 22(1):79–86

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Li Y, Wang B, Fu A, Watada J (2020) Fuzzy portfolio optimization for time-inconsistent investors: a multi-objective dynamic approach. Soft Comput 24(13):9927–9941

    Google Scholar 

  • Liu B (2007) Uncertainty theory, 2nd edn. Springer, Berlin

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Liu B (2009) Some research problems in uncertainty theory. J Uncertain Syst 3(1):3–10

    Google Scholar 

  • Liu B (2010) Uncertainty theory: a branch of mathematics for modeling human uncertainty. Springer, Berlin, 2010

  • Liu Y (2013a) Uncertain random variables: a mixture of uncertainty and randomness. Soft Comput 17(4):625–634

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Liu Y (2013b) Uncertain random programming with applications. Fuzzy Optim Decis Making 12(2):153–169

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Liu Z, Zhao R, Liu X, Chen L (2017) Contract designing for a supply chain with uncertain information based on confidence level. Appl Soft Comput 56:617–631

    Google Scholar 

  • Liu Y, Zhang W, Zhao X (2018) Fuzzy multi-period portfolio selection model with discounted transaction costs. Soft Comput 22(1):177–193

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Martellini L, Urosevic B (2006) Static mean-variance analysis with uncertain time horizon. Manag Sci 52(6):955–964

    Google Scholar 

  • Mehlawat M (2016) Credibilistic mean-entropy models for multiperiod portfolio selection with multi-choice aspiration levels. Inf Sci 345:9–26

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Mehralizade R, Amini M, Gildeh BS, Ahmadzade H (2020) Uncertain random portfolio selection based on risk curve. Soft Comput 24(17):13331–13345

    Google Scholar 

  • Pai GAV (2017) Fuzzy decision theory based metaheuristic portfolio optimization and active rebalancing using interval type-2 fuzzy sets. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 25(2):377–391

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Ponta L, Carbone A (2018) Information measure for financial time series: quantifying short-term market heterogeneity. Physica A 510:132–144

    Google Scholar 

  • Qin Z (2015) Mean-variance model for portfolio optimization problem in the simultaneous presence of random and uncertain returns. Eur J Oper Res 245(2):480–488

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Qin Z, Dai Y, Zheng H (2017) Uncertain random portfolio optimization models based on value-at-risk. J Intell Fuzzy Syst 32(6):4523–4531

    Google Scholar 

  • Rao C, Yan B (2020) Study on the interactive influence between economic growth and environmental pollution. Environ Sci Pollut Res. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-10017-6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rao C, Lin H, Liu M (2020) Design of comprehensive evaluation index system for P2P credit risk of “three rural” borrowers. Soft Comput 24(15):11493–11509

    Google Scholar 

  • Rosenbluth G (1961) Address to ‘Round-Table-Gesprach uber Messung der industriellen Konzentration’, Die Konzentration in der Wirtschafi, edited by F. Neumark, Schriften des Vereins fur Socialpolitik, N.S., 22:391–394

  • Shannon C (1949) The mathematical theory of communication. The University of Illinois Press, Urbana

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Sheng Y, Shi G, Ralescu D (2017) Entropy of uncertain random variables with application to minimum spanning tree problem. Int J Uncertain Fuzziness Knowl Based Syst 25(4):497–514

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Sheng Y, Shi G, Qin Z (2018) A stronger law of large numbers for uncertain random variables. Soft Comput 22(17):5655–5662

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Sun G, Yang B, Yang Z, Xu G (2020) An adaptive differential evolution with combined strategy for global numerical optimization. Soft Comput 24(9):6277–6296

    Google Scholar 

  • Woerheide W, Persson D (1993) An index of portfolio diversification. Financ Serv Rev 2(2):73–85

    Google Scholar 

  • Wu X, Ralescu D, Liu Y (2020) A new quadratic deviation of fuzzy random variable and its application to portfolio optimization. Iran J Fuzzy Syst 17(3):1–18

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Xiao Q, Chen L, Xie M, Wang C (2020) Optimal contract design in sustainable supply chain: interactive impacts of fairness concern and overconfidence. J Oper Res Soc. https://doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2020.1727784

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yao D, Wang C (2018) Hesitant intuitionistic fuzzy entropy/cross-entropy and their applications. Soft Comput 22(9):2809–2824

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Yao K, Gao J, Dai W (2013) Sine entropy for uncertain variable. Int J Uncertain Fuzziness Knowl Based Syst 21(5):743–753

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Yue W, Wang Y (2017) A new fuzzy multi-objective higher order moment portfolio selection model for diversified portfolios. Physica A 465:124–140

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Yue W, Wang Y, Xuan X (2019) Fuzzy multi-objective portfolio model based on semi-variance-semi-absolute deviation risk measures. Soft Comput 23(17):8159–8179

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang P (2016) An interval mean-average absolute deviation model for multiperiod portfolio selection with risk control and cardinality constraints. Soft Comput 20(3):1203–1212

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang P (2017) Multiperiod mean semi-absolute deviation interval portfolio selection with entropy constraints. J Ind Manag Optim 13(3):1169–1187

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang P (2019) Multiperiod mean absolute deviation uncertain portfolio selection with real constraint. Soft Comput 23(13):5081–5098

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang J, Li Q (2019) Credibilistic mean-semi-entropy model for multi-period portfolio selection with background risk. Entropy 21(10):1–25

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang W, Liu Y, Xu W (2012) A possibilistic mean-semivariance-entropy model for multi-period portfolio selection with transaction costs. Eur J Oper Res 222(2):341–349

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang B, Peng J, Li S, Chen L (2016) Fixed charge solid transportation problem in uncertain environment and its algorithm. Comput Ind Eng 102:186–197

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhou R, Cai R, Tong G (2013) Applications of entropy in finance: a review. Entropy 15(11):4909–4931

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Zhou J, Li X, Pedrycz W (2016) Mean-semi-entropy models of fuzzy portfolio selection. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 24(6):1627–1636

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province (No. F2020202056), the Key Project of Hebei Education Department (No. ZD2020125), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 11801108, 11701116).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Rong Gao or Huafei Di.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that there is no conflict of interests regarding the publication of this paper.

Ethical approval

This article does not contain any studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors.

Additional information

Communicated by V. Loia.

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Chen, L., Gao, R., Bian, Y. et al. Elliptic entropy of uncertain random variables with application to portfolio selection. Soft Comput 25, 1925–1939 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-020-05266-z

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-020-05266-z

Keywords

Navigation