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The application of a new attribute selection technique to the forecasting of housing value using dependence modelling

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Abstract

This article introduces the J-score, a heuristic feature selection technique capable of selecting a useful subset of attributes from a dataset of potential inputs. The utility of the J-score is demonstrated through its application to a dataset containing historical information that may influence the house price index in the United Kingdom. After selecting a subset of features deemed appropriate by the J-score, a predictive model is trained using an artificial neural network. This model is then tested and the results compared with those from an alternative model, built using a subset of features suggested by the Gamma test, a non-linear analysis algorithm that is described. Other control subsets are also used for the assessment of the J-score model quality. The predictive accuracy of the J-score model relative to other models provides evidence that the J-score has good potential for further practical use in a variety of problems in the feature selection domain.

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Correspondence to I. D. Wilson.

Appendices

Appendix 1

Graphics of the source data (Figs. 17, 18)

Fig. 17
figure 17

Graphs of the real movement within each economic input series

Fig. 18
figure 18

Graph showing the real movement of the house price index

Appendix 2

Graphics of the source data’s annual percentage movement (Figs. 19, 20)

Fig. 19
figure 19

Graphs of the annual percentage movement within each economic input series

Fig. 20
figure 20

Graph showing the annual percentage movement of the house price index

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Jarvis, P.S., Wilson, I.D. & Kemp, S.E. The application of a new attribute selection technique to the forecasting of housing value using dependence modelling. Neural Comput & Applic 15, 136–153 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-005-0023-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-005-0023-9

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