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Efficient screening of enhanced oil recovery methods and predictive economic analysis

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Abstract

Oil demand for economic development around the world is rapidly increasing. Moreover, oil production rates are getting a peak in mature reservoirs and tending to decline in the near future, which has led to considerable researches on enhanced oil recovery (EOR) methods. Therefore, an efficient technical and economical screening to appropriate selection of EOR methods can make savings in time and cost. The purpose of this communication is to present a method to select an efficient EOR process and investigate its economic parameters. A database of reservoir parameters of rock and fluid properties along with successful EOR techniques has been collected and analyzed. First, an artificial neural network (ANN) was developed to classify the EOR methods technically. Then, an economical EOR screening model was designed, and then, future cash flows on the use of EOR methods were predicted. The results show that the ANN system can select proper EOR methods and classify them. Moreover, the obtained results indicate that the economic analysis performed in this study is efficient and useful to predict future cash flows.

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Notes

  1. \( {\text{MSE}} = \frac{{\sum_{i = 1}^{n} {({\text{EOR}}_{{{\text{pred}}_{i} }} } - {\text{EOR}}_{{\exp_{i} }} )^{2} }}{n}. \)

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Acknowledgments

The authors are grateful to IOR Research Institute; NIOC R&T for their support.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Thermodynamics Research Unit, School of Engineering, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Howard College Campus, King George V Avenue, Durban, 4041, South Africa

    Arash Kamari & Amir H. Mohammadi

  2. Chemical Engineering Department, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran

    Mohammad Nikookar & Leili Sahranavard

  3. Institut de Recherche en Génie Chimique et Pétrolier (IRGCP), Paris Cedex, France

    Amir H. Mohammadi

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  1. Arash Kamari
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  2. Mohammad Nikookar
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  3. Leili Sahranavard
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  4. Amir H. Mohammadi
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Correspondence to Mohammad Nikookar or Amir H. Mohammadi.

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Kamari, A., Nikookar, M., Sahranavard, L. et al. Efficient screening of enhanced oil recovery methods and predictive economic analysis. Neural Comput & Applic 25, 815–824 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-014-1553-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-014-1553-9

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