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A deep learning-assisted mathematical model for decongestion time prediction at railroad grade crossings

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A Correction to this article was published on 28 November 2021

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Abstract

This paper presents a deep learning-assisted framework to estimate the decongestion time at the grade crossing, and its key novelty lies in a differential approach to address the challenge associated with data deficiency of congestion events in grade crossings. A hypothesis of the traffic behavior during the congestion event caused by passing trains is proposed. A deep neural network-based vehicle crowd counting algorithm is developed to estimate the number of vehicles at the normal traffic condition. A running average-based motion detection algorithm is designed to estimate the time of the train passing through the grade crossing. A regression model is then constructed to relate the quantitative information with the decongestion time. In the experiments, 30 congestion events are video-recorded during a period of 200 h with different camera angles at a selected grade crossing, and then studied by the proposed method to learn the congestion pattern and predict the decongestion time, which to the best of our knowledge has not been attempted before. Analysis of the experimental results shows that the vehicle number at the normal traffic flow and the train passing time have significant influences on the traffic decongestion time. The relationship is captured by a quantitative model for rapid prediction. Our study also points out the direction for further improvement of the present development to meet the need for real-world applications.

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Abbreviations

FRA:

Federal Railroad Administration

DNN:

Deep Neural Network

ROI:

Region of Interest

ETT:

Estimated Total Time

ETP:

Estimated Time of Train Passing

ETD:

Estimated Time of Decongestion

NTC:

Normal Traffic Condition

GT:

Ground Truth

NNTC:

Non-Normal Traffic Condition

GT-NNTC:

Ground Truth of Non-Normal Traffic Condition

GT-NTC:

Ground Truth of Normal Traffic Condition

GT-ETP:

Ground Truth of Estimated Time of Train Passing

GT-ETD:

Ground Truth of Estimated Time of Decongestion

CNN:

Convolutional Neural Network

MAE:

Mean Absolute Error

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Acknowledgements

This research is partially funded by the Federal Railroad Administration (FRA), Contract No. 693JJ6-19-C-000009. Mr. Francesco Bedini, Dr. Shala Blue, and Dr. Starr Kidda from FRA have provided important guidance and insight. Special thanks to Mayor Steve Benjamin, the City Council, and the first responders at the City of Columbia for their tremendous support. Mr. Robert Anderson, Mr. David Brewer, Mr. John Stroke and other members at the Public Works Department provided great help for the traffic monitoring. The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not represent the opinions of the funding agencies.

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Jiang, Z., Guo, F., Qian, Y. et al. A deep learning-assisted mathematical model for decongestion time prediction at railroad grade crossings. Neural Comput & Applic 34, 4715–4732 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-021-06625-z

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