Abstract
We present a probabilistic and a possibilistic model for assessing the risk of a service level agreement for a computing task in a cluster/grid environment. These models can also be applied to cloud computing. Using the predictive probabilistic approach we develop a framework for resource management in grid computing, and by introducing an upper limit for the number of failures we approximate the probability that a particular computing task is successful. In the predictive possibility model we estimate the possibility distribution of the future number of node failures by a fuzzy nonparametric regression technique. Then the resource provider can use the probabilistic or the possibilistic model to get alternative risk assessments.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Bernardo JM, Smith AFM (1994) Bayesian theory. Wiley, Chichester
Brandt JM, Gentile AC, Marzouk YM, Pébay PP (2005) Meaningful statistical analysis of large computational clusters. In: Proceedings of the 2005 IEEE international conference on cluster computing, Burlington, MA, pp 1–2. doi:10.1109/CLUSTR.2005.347090
Carlsson C, Fullér R (2002) Fuzzy reasoning in decision making and optimization. Springer, Berlin
Carlsson C, Weissman O (2009) Advanced risk assessment, D4.1. The AssessGrid Project, IST-2005-031772, Berlin
Carlsson C, Fullér R, Mezei J (2009) A lower limit for the probability of success of computing tasks in a grid. In: Proceedings of the tenth international symposium of Hungarian researchers on computational intelligence and informatics (CINTI 2009) Budapest, Hungary, pp 717–722
Czajkowski K, Foster I, Kesselman C (2005) Agreement-based resource management. Proc IEEE 93(3):631–643. doi:10.1109/JPROC.2004.842773
Diamond P (1988) Fuzzy least squares. Inf Sci 46(3):141–157. doi:10.1016/0020-0255(88)90047-3
Iosup A, Jan M, Sonmez OO, Epema, DHJ (2007) On the dynamic resource availability in grids. In: Proceedings of the 8th IEEE/ACM international conference on grid computing (GRID 2007), pp 26–33. doi:10.1109/GRID.2007.4354112
Lintner J (1965) The valuation of risk assets and the selection of risky investments in stock portfolios and capital budgets. Rev Econ Stat 47(1):13–37
Magana E, Serrat J (2007) Distributed and heuristic policy-based resource management system for large-scale grids. Lect Notes Comput Sci 4543:184–187
Marston S, Li Z, Bandyopadhyay S, Zhang J, Ghalsasi A (2011) Cloud computing—the business perspective. Decis Support Syst 51(1):176–189
Rimal BH, Jukan A, Katsaros D, Goelven Y (2011) Architectural requirements for cloud computing systems: an enterprise cloud approach. J Grid Comput 9(1):3–26
Robert CP, Casella G (2005) Monte Carlo statistical methods. Springer, New York
Schroeder B, Gibson GA (2006) A large-scale study of failures in high-performance computing systems. In: DSN2006 conference proceedings, Philadelphia, pp 249–258. doi:10.1109/DSN.2006.5
Sklar A (1959) Fonctions de Répartition àn Dimensions et Leurs Marges. Paris, France Publ. Inst. Statist. Univ. Paris 1959(8):229–231
Wang N, Zhang W-X, Mei C-L (2007) Fuzzy nonparametric regression based on local linear smoothing technique. Inf Sci 177(18):3882–3900. doi:10.1016/j.ins.2007.03.002
Zadeh LA (1965) Fuzzy sets. Inf Control 8(3):338–353. doi:10.1016/S0019-9958(65)90241-X
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Carlsson, C., Fullér, R. Probabilistic versus possibilistic risk assessment models for optimal service level agreements in grid computing. Inf Syst E-Bus Manage 11, 13–28 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10257-011-0187-z
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10257-011-0187-z