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Probabilistic versus possibilistic risk assessment models for optimal service level agreements in grid computing

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Abstract

We present a probabilistic and a possibilistic model for assessing the risk of a service level agreement for a computing task in a cluster/grid environment. These models can also be applied to cloud computing. Using the predictive probabilistic approach we develop a framework for resource management in grid computing, and by introducing an upper limit for the number of failures we approximate the probability that a particular computing task is successful. In the predictive possibility model we estimate the possibility distribution of the future number of node failures by a fuzzy nonparametric regression technique. Then the resource provider can use the probabilistic or the possibilistic model to get alternative risk assessments.

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Acknowledgments

The work on the Bayes’ models in Sects. 3, 4 has greatly benefited from a collaboration with Professor Jukka Corander, Department of Statistics, Åbo Akademi University, who is an eminent statistician.

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Correspondence to Christer Carlsson.

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Carlsson, C., Fullér, R. Probabilistic versus possibilistic risk assessment models for optimal service level agreements in grid computing. Inf Syst E-Bus Manage 11, 13–28 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10257-011-0187-z

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10257-011-0187-z

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