Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

A new spatial shift-share decomposition for the regional growth analysis: a local study of the employment based on Italian Business Statistical Register

  • Published:
Statistical Methods & Applications Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper presents a new shift-share model to decompose the employment growth rate of a territorial unit by taking into consideration the association between industry mix and firm legal status effects measured in its neighborhood. We explicitly consider this kind of association to go beyond the problem of asymmetry found in a previous work. The empirical application refers to the data collected in the Italian Business Statistical Register and, in particular, regional employment figures in Friuli Venezia Giulia (NUTS2 level), for 219 territorial units (LAU2 level) and 12 Local Labour Systems (LLS), for the years 2001 and 2004.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Anselin L (1995) Local indicators of spatial association LISA. Geogr Anal 27: 93–115

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Anselin L (1996) The Moran scatterplot as an ESDA tool to assess local instability in spatial association. In: Fischer M, Scholten H, Unwin D (eds) Spatial analytical perspectives on GIS in environmental and socio-economic sciences. Taylor and Francis, London, pp 111–125

    Google Scholar 

  • Arcelus FJ (1984) An extension of shift-share analysis. Growth Change 15: 3–8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ashby LD (1964) The geographical redistribution of employment: an examination of the elements of change. Surv Curr Bus 44: 13–20

    Google Scholar 

  • Beaudry R, Martin F (1979) Shift-share revisited: the allocation effect and the stability of regional structure, a comment. J Reg Sci 19: 389–391

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Biffignandi S (1993) Aspetti metodologici e interpretativi della tecnica shift-share. Cedam, Padua

    Google Scholar 

  • Bishop KC, Simpson CE (1972) Components of change analysis: problems of alternative approaches to industrial structure. Reg Stud 6: 59–68

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boarnet MG (1998) Spillovers and the locational effects of public infrastructure. J Reg Sci 38: 381–400

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Case AC, Rosen HS, Hines RH (1993) Budget spillovers and fiscal policy interdependence: evidence from the states. J Public Econ 52: 285–307

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cliff AD, Ord JK (1981) Spatial processes. Models & Applications, Pion

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Creamer D (1942) Shift of manufacturing industries. Industrial location and national resources. U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunn ES (1959) Une technique statistique et analytique d’analyse régionale: description et projection. Econ Appliquée 4: 521–530

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunn ES (1960) A statistical and analytical technique for regional analysis. Pap Proc Reg Sci Assoc 6: 97–112

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Esteban-Marquillas JM (1972) Shift and share analysis revisited. Reg Urban Econ 2: 249–255

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Faramondi A (2006) Un nuovo approccio all’analisi delle componenti locali e strutturali. Rivista di Statistica Ufficiale 3: 37–50

    Google Scholar 

  • Fingleton B (2001) Equilibrium and economic growth: spatial econometric models and simulations. J Reg Sci 41: 117–147

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fuchs VR (1962) Statistical explanations of the relative shift of manufacturing among regions of the United States. Pap Proc Reg Sci Assoc 8: 105–126

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Haynes KE, Machunda ZB (1987) Considerations in extending shift-share analysis: note. Growth Change 18: 69–78

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Herzog HW, Olsen RJ (1977) Shift-share analysis revisited: the allocation effect and the stability of regional structure. J Reg Sci 17: 441–454

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Herzog HW, Olsen RJ (1979) Shift-share analysis revisited: the allocation effect and the stability of regional structure, a reply. J Reg Sci 19: 393–395

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Houston DB (1967) The shift and share analysis of regional growth: a critique. South Econ J 33: 577–581

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jones JH (1940) A memorandum of the location of industry, in report of the royal commission on the distribution of industrial population (Barlow Report), appendix II, HMSO, Cmnd. 6153, London, pp 249–280

  • Keil SR (1992) On the value of homotheticity in the shift-share framework. Growth Change 23: 469–493

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Klaassen LH, Paelinck JHP (1972) Asymmetry in shift-share analysis. Reg Urban Econ 2: 256–261

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lamarche RH, Srinath KP, Ray DM (2003) Correct partitioning of regional growth rates: improvements in shift-share theory. Canadian J Reg Sci 16: 121–141

    Google Scholar 

  • López-Bazo E, Vayá E, Mora AJ, Suriñach J (1999) Regional economic dynamics and convergence in the European Union. Ann Reg Sci 33: 343–370

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Loveridge S, Selting AC (1998) A review and comparison of shift-share identities. Int Reg Sci Rev 21: 37–58

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mayor M, López AJ (2005) Spatial shift-share analysis: new developments and some findings for the Spanish case. In: Proceedings of the European regional science association, ERSA2005, Amsterdam

  • Mitchell W, Bill A (2004) Spatial dependence in regional unemployment in Australia, centre of full employment and equity, wp 04-11, CofFEE, Newcastle, Australia

  • Mitchell W, Bill A (2005) A spatial econometric analysis of the irreversibility of long term unemployment in Australia, centre of full employment and equity, wp 05-05, CofFEE, Newcastle, Australia

  • Mitchell W, Myers J, Juniper J (2005) Extending shift-share analysis to account for spatial effects: a study using Australian census data, centre of full employment and equity, wp 05-19, CofFEE, Newcastle, Australia

  • Molho I (1995) Spatial autocorrelation in British unemployment. J Reg Sci 35: 641–658

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nazara S, Hewings GJD (2004) Spatial structure and taxonomy of decomposition in shift-share analysis. Growth Change 35: 476–490

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Patterson MG (1991) A note on the formulation of the full-analogue regression model of the shift-share method. J Reg Sci 31: 211–216

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Patuelli R, Reggiani A, Nijkamp P, Blien U (2006) New neural network methods for forecasting regional employment: an analysis of German labour markets. Spat Econ Anal 1: 7–30

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Perloff HS, Dunn ES, Lampard EE, Muth RF (1960) Regions, resources and economic growth. J. Hopkins Press, Baltimore

    Google Scholar 

  • Ray DM (1990) Standardising employment growth rates of foreign multinationals and domestic firms in Canada: from shift-share to multifactor partitioning, international labour organisation, multinational enterprises programme, wp 62, Geneva

  • Richardson HW (1978) The state of regional economics: a survey article. Int Reg Sci Rev 3: 1–48

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rosenfeld F (1959) Commentaire à l’exposé de M. E. S. Dunn sur une méthode statistique et analytique d’analyse régionale - Présentation mathématique de la méthode. Econ Appliquée 4: 531–534

    Google Scholar 

  • Stetzer F (1982) Specifying weights in spatial forecasting models: the results of some experiments. Environ Planning A 14: 571–584

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stillwell FJB (1969) Regional growth and structural adaptation. Urban Stud 6: 162–178

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stokes HK (1974) Shift share once again. Reg Urban Econ 4: 57–60

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thirlwall AP (1967) A measure of the ‘proper distribution of industry’. Oxf Econ Pap 19: 46–58

    Google Scholar 

  • Zaccomer GP (2006) Shift-share analysis with spatial structure: an application to Italian industrial districts. Trans Stud Rev 13: 213–227

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zaccomer GP (2008) La riorganizzazione industriale del distretto friulano della sedia: un’analisi statistica delle imprese attive nel periodo 2000–2004, in Zaccomer GP, Economia, Statistica e Territorio. Informazione e metodologia statistica per la conoscenza dell’economia del Friuli Venezia Giulia, Forum, Udine, pp 257–278

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Gian Pietro Zaccomer.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Zaccomer, G.P., Mason, P. A new spatial shift-share decomposition for the regional growth analysis: a local study of the employment based on Italian Business Statistical Register. Stat Methods Appl 20, 329–356 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-011-0160-5

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-011-0160-5

Keywords

Navigation