Skip to main content
Log in

Feature attenuation reinforced recurrent neural network for diffusion prediction

  • Published:
Applied Intelligence Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In recent years, prediction models based on deep learning have become more popular owing to their good prediction performance. Of them, the recurrent neural network (RNN) model has shown excellent learning and prediction ability in processing sequence data. However, in the field of information transmission, the existing models only treat the cascade process as a numerical sequence without considering the temporal characteristics of information diffusion and the difference of neighbor influence, making the prediction model unable to capture the characteristics of cascade data. We propose an information diffusion prediction approach based on feature attenuation reinforced recurrent network called Feature Deep Diffusion (FADD) to solve this problem. Firstly, a multi-order neighbor influence mechanism is introduced to distinguish the influence weights of neighbors of different classes, and the user feature representation is updated with the network representation method. Then, combining with the time attenuation effect, the neural network model based on feature attenuation enhancement is constructed. Finally, the model is used to predict information forwarding and information heat. A large set of experiments on two real social networks shows that the performance of the proposed method is better than that of the mainstream propagation prediction method based on an end-to-end neural network.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Ducci F, Kraus M, Feuerriegel S (2020) Cascade-LSTM: a tree-structured neural classifier for detecting misinformation cascades. In: proceedings of the 26th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining, pp 2666-2676

  2. Li C, Ma J, Guo X, Mei Q (2017) Deepcas: an end-to-end predictor of information cascades. In: proceedings of the 26th international conference on world wide web, pp 577-586

  3. Wang J, Zheng VW, Liu Z, Chang KC-C (2017b) Topological recurrent neural network for diffusion prediction. In: 2017 IEEE international conference on data mining (ICDM), pp 475-484

  4. Wang Y, Shen H, Liu S, Gao J, Cheng X (2017a) Cascade dynamics modeling with attention-based recurrent neural network. In: IJCAI, pp. 2985–2991

  5. Yang C, Sun M, Zhao WX, Liu Z, Chang EY (2017) A neural network approach to jointly modeling social networks and mobile trajectories. ACM Trans Inf Syst 35:1–28

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Tang J, Tang X, Xiao X, Yuan J (2018) Online processing algorithms for influence maximization. In: proceedings of the 2018 international conference on Management of Data, pp 991-1005

  7. Wang L-Z, Zhao Z-D, Jiang J, Guo B-H, Wang X, Huang Z-G, Lai Y-C (2019) A model for meme popularity growth in social networking systems based on biological principle and human interest dynamics. Chaos: Interdisc J Nonli Sci 29:023136

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  8. Dow PA, Adamic L, Friggeri A (2013) The anatomy of large facebook cascades. In: Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media

  9. Deng X, Xu M, Yang LT, Lin M, Yi L, Wang M (2018a) Energy balanced dispatch of mobile edge nodes for confident information coverage hole repairing in IoT. IEEE Internet Things J 6:4782–4790

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Deng X, Yang LT, Yi L, Wang M, Zhu Z (2018b) Detecting confident information coverage holes in industrial internet of things: an energy-efficient perspective. IEEE Commun Mag 56:68–73

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Wang M, Wang X, Yang LT, Deng X, Yi L (2020) Multi-sensor fusion based intelligent sensor relocation for health and safety monitoring in BSNs. Inf Fusion 54:61–71

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Chen F, Tan WH (2018) Marked self-exciting point process modelling of information diffusion on twitter. Ann Appl Stat 12:2175–2196

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  13. Kong Q, Rizoiu M-A, Xie L (2020) Modeling information cascades with self-exciting processes via generalized epidemic models. In: proceedings of the 13th international conference on web search and data mining, pp 286-294

  14. Zhao Q, Erdogdu MA, He HY, Rajaraman A, Leskovec J (2015) Seismic: a self-exciting point process model for predicting tweet popularity. In: proceedings of the 21th ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, pp 1513-1522

  15. Yu L, Cui P, Wang F, Song C, Yang S (2015) From micro to macro: uncovering and predicting information cascading process with behavioral dynamics. In: 2015 IEEE international conference on data mining, pp 559-568

  16. Li H, He F, Chen Y, Pan Y (2021) MLFS-CCDE: multi-objective large-scale feature selection by cooperative coevolutionary differential evolution. Memetic Comp 13:1–18

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Pan Y, He F, Yu H (2020a) Learning social representations with deep autoencoder for recommender system. World Wide Web 23:2259–2279

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Pan Y, He F, Yu H, Li H (2020b) Learning adaptive trust strength with user roles of truster and trustee for trust-aware recommender systems. Appl Intell 50:314–327

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Zhang D, Yin J, Zhu X, Zhang C (2018) Network representation learning: a survey. IEEE Trans Big Data 6:3–28

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Perozzi B, Al-Rfou R, Skiena S (2014) Deepwalk: online learning of social representations. In: proceedings of the 20th ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, pp 701-710

  21. Xiong Y, Zhang Y, Fu H, Wang W, Zhu Y, Philip SY (2019) Dyngraphgan: dynamic graph embedding via generative adversarial networks. In: International Conference on Database Systems for Advanced Applications, pp. 536–552, DynGraphGAN: Dynamic Graph Embedding via Generative Adversarial Networks

  22. Horawalavithana S, Skvoretz J, Iamnitchi A (2020) Cascade-LSTM: predicting information cascades using deep neural networks. arXiv preprint arXiv:.12373

  23. Yang C, Tang J, Sun M, Cui G, Liu Z (2019) Multi-scale information diffusion prediction with reinforced recurrent networks. In: IJCAI, pp. 4033–4039

  24. Li D, Wang W, Jin C, Ma J, Sun X, Xu Z, Li S, Liu J (2019) User recommendation for promoting information diffusion in social networks. Physica A: Stat Mech Appl 534:121536

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Wang Y, Shen H, Liu S, Cheng X (2015) Learning user-specific latent influence and susceptibility from information cascades. In: Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence

  26. Yi Y, Zhang Z, Yang LT, Gan C, Deng X, Yi L (2020) Reemergence modeling of intelligent information diffusion in heterogeneous social networks: the dynamics perspective. IEEE Trans Netw Sci Eng, Reemergence Modeling of Intelligent Information Diffusion in Heterogeneous Social Networks: The Dynamics Perspective

  27. Gleeson JP, Onaga T, Fennell P, Cotter J, Burke R, O'Sullivan DJ (2020) Branching process descriptions of information cascades on twitter. arXiv preprint arXiv:.08916

  28. Gao J, Shen H, Liu S, Cheng X (2016) Modeling and predicting retweeting dynamics via a mixture process. In: proceedings of the 25th international conference companion on world wide web, pp 33-34

  29. Cao Q, Shen H, Cen K, Ouyang W, Cheng X (2017) Deephawkes: bridging the gap between prediction and understanding of information cascades. In: proceedings of the 2017 ACM on conference on information and knowledge management, pp 1149-1158

  30. Mishra S, Rizoiu M-A, Xie L (2016) Feature driven and point process approaches for popularity prediction. In: proceedings of the 25th ACM international on conference on information and knowledge management, pp 1069-1078

  31. Tsur O, Rappoport A (2012) What's in a hashtag? Content based prediction of the spread of ideas in microblogging communities. In: Proceedings of the fifth ACM international conference on Web search and data mining, pp. 643–652

  32. Shulman B, Sharma A, Cosley D (2016) Predictability of popularity: gaps between prediction and understanding. In: Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media

  33. Cheng J, Adamic L, Dow PA, Kleinberg JM, Leskovec J (2014) Can cascades be predicted? In: proceedings of the 23rd international conference on world wide web, pp 925-936

  34. Molaei S, Zare H, Veisi H (2020) Deep learning approach on information diffusion in heterogeneous networks. Knowl-Based Syst 189:105153

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Wang Z, Chen C, Li W (2018a) Attention network for information diffusion prediction. In: Companion Proceedings of the The Web Conference 2018, pp. 65–66

  36. Islam MR, Muthiah S, Adhikari B, Prakash BA, Ramakrishnan N (2018) DeepDiffuse: predicting the'Who'and'When'in cascades. In: 2018 IEEE international conference on data mining (ICDM), pp 1055-1060

  37. Yang C, Sun M, Liu H, Han S, Liu Z, Luan H (2018) Neural diffusion model for microscopic cascade prediction. arXiv preprint arXiv:.08933

  38. Wang Z, Chen C, Li W (2018b) A sequential neural information diffusion model with structure attention. In: proceedings of the 27th ACM international conference on information and knowledge management, pp 1795-1798

  39. Chen X, Zhou F, Zhang K, Trajcevski G, Zhong T, Zhang F (2019) Information diffusion prediction via recurrent cascades convolution. In: 2019 IEEE 35th international conference on data engineering (ICDE), pp 770-781

  40. Filimonov V, Sornette D (2015) Apparent criticality and calibration issues in the Hawkes self-excited point process model: application to high-frequency financial data. Quant Finance 15:1293–1314

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  41. Hodas NO, Lerman K (2014) The simple rules of social contagion. Sci Rep 4:1–7

    Google Scholar 

  42. Zhong E, Fan W, Wang J, Xiao L, Li Y (2012) Comsoc: adaptive transfer of user behaviors over composite social network. In: proceedings of the 18th ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, pp 696-704

  43. Grover A, Leskovec J (2016) node2vec: scalable feature learning for networks. In: proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, pp 855-864

Download references

Acknowledgments

Supported by China National Social Science Fund (19BXW110).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Bicheng Li.

Additional information

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Pan, L., Xiong, Y., Li, B. et al. Feature attenuation reinforced recurrent neural network for diffusion prediction. Appl Intell 53, 1855–1869 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10489-022-03413-7

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10489-022-03413-7

Keywords

Navigation