Abstract
In order to promote China’s agriculture development, it is of great importance to understand how the local government’s investment information affects farmers’ agricultural investment. Using the empirical data of 31 provinces and cities in China, firstly, this paper analyzes the agricultural investment of farmers based on the Ramsey model and finds out that farmers’ enthusiasm for agricultural investment is affected by farmers’ rational expectation of rate of return and borrowing interest rates in agriculture. Secondly, this paper studies the relationship between local government and farmers about agricultural investment by conducting Iterated Elimination of Nash equilibrium game model. It is found that farmers tend to invest in agriculture according to the investment information made by the local government. The results of VAR and VEC model confirm that the local government’s investment in agriculture has a significant influence on farmers’ investment. In the long run, there is a stable co-integration relationship between them. As the agricultural investment of local government increases 1%, the farmers’ investment increases 0.386% accordingly. Therefore, through the education of agricultural skills and risk control, farmers can have a clearer understanding of the agricultural development. The local government needs to keep investing more in agriculture, which will effectively promote the agriculture investment of farmers and ultimately improve the quality of agriculture development.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Deininger, K., Ali, D.A.: Do overlapping land rights reduce agricultural investment? Evidence from Uganda. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 90(4), 869–882 (2008)
Vercammen, J.: Farm bankruptcy risk as a link between direct payments and agricultural investment. Eur. Rev. Agric. Econ. 34(4), 479–500 (2007)
Qin, H.: An analysis of the current situation of China’s agricultural investment and the government’s nurturing. Nankai Econ. Stud. 20(3), 28–31 (2004)
Wu, F.W., Meng, L.J., Xiong, C.P.: Growth and Efficiency of China’s Agriculture. Shanghai University of Finance and Economics Press, Shanghai (2000)
Schultz, T.W.: Investment in Human Capital. Beijing University of Economics Press, Beijing (1992)
Binswanger, H.P., Khandker, S.R., Rosenzweig, M.R.: How infrastructure and financial institutions affect agricultural output and investment in India. J. Dev. Econ. 41(2), 337–366 (1993)
Kirchweger, S., Kantelhardt, J.: The dynamic effects of government-supported farm-investment activities on structural change in Austrian agriculture. Land Use Policy 48(7), 73–93 (2015)
Derek, B., Alain, D.J.: The World Development Report 2008: Agriculture for Development, pp. 20–24. The World Bank, Washington, DC (2008)
Chayanov, A.: Peasant Economic Organization. Central Compilation & Translation Press, Beijing (1996)
Becker, G.S.: Family Economic Analysis. Huaxia Press, Beijing (1987)
Syster, C.: Investing today or tomorrow? An experimental approach to farmers’ decision behaviour. J. Agric. Econ. 64(2), 295–318 (2013)
Li, D.S., Yang, Y.Q., Xiao, F.: Reflections on reshaping the input mechanism of agricultural investment. Prob. Agric.l Econ. 22(6), 34–37 (2001)
Zhu, X., Shi, Q.H., Li, R.: Farmers’ operational investment behavior in transition: evidence from 15 villages in the Yangtze River Delta. China Econ. Quart. 9(2), 713–730 (2010)
Petrick, M.: Farm investment, credit rationing, and governmentally promoted credit access in Poland: a cross-sectional analysis. Food Policy 29(3), 275–294 (2004)
Wang, J.: Analysis on the effect of government system factors in agricultural investment: taking Shandong agricultural investment as an example. J. Agro-Tech. Econ. 22(6), 13–16 (2003)
Chen, C.B.: The agricultural investment functions of the governments in the development of economic. Prob. Agric. Econ. 24(9), 42–44 (2003)
Ramsey, F.P.: A mathematical theory of saving. Econ. J. 38(152), 543–559 (1928)
Zhang, W.Y.: Game Theory and Information Economics. Shanghai People’s Publishing House, Shanghai (2004)
You, J.: Risk, under-investment in agricultural assets and dynamic asset poverty in rural China. China Econ. Rev. 29(2), 27–45 (2014)
Ma, C.Y.: Non-agricultural income, agricultural efficiency and investments—the Reflection of China’s Rural Labor Migration. Econ. Prob. 31(7), 66–69 (2009)
Hardri, K.: Testing for stationarity in heterogeneous panel data. Econ. J. 3(2), 148–161 (2000)
Maddala, G.S., Wu, S.: A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxford Bull. Econ. Stat. 61(S1), 631–652 (1999)
Westerlund, J.: Testing for error correction in panel data. Oxford Bull. Econ. Stat. 69(6), 709–748 (2007)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Zhu, B., He, J. & Zhai, S. How does local government’s information affect farmers’ agricultural investment: based on theoretical and empirical analysis. Cluster Comput 22 (Suppl 6), 15091–15102 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10586-018-2500-9
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10586-018-2500-9