Abstract
We study the multi-stage portfolio selection problem where the utility function of an investor is ambiguous. The ambiguity is characterized by dynamic stochastic dominance constraints, which are able to capture the dynamics of the random return sequence during the investment process. We propose a multi-stage dynamic stochastic dominance constrained portfolio selection model, and use a mixed normal distribution with time-varying weights and the K-means clustering technique to generate a scenario tree for the transformation of the proposed model. Based on the scenario tree representation, we derive two linear programming approximation problems, using the sampling approach or the duality theory, which provide an upper bound approximation and a lower bound approximation for the original nonconvex problem. The upper bound is asymptotically tight with infinitely many samples. Numerical results illustrate the practicality and efficiency of the proposed new model and solution techniques.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Armbruster, B., Luedtke, J.: Models and formulations for multivariate dominance-constrained stochastic programs. IIE Trans. 47, 1–14 (2015)
Chen, Z., Consigli, G., Liu, J., Li, G., Fu, T., Hu, Q.: Optimal financial decision making under uncertainty. In: International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, vol. 245, chap. Multi-period Risk Measures and Optimal Investment Policies, pp. 1–34. Springer, Gewerbestrasse (2017)
Chen, Z., Mei, Y., Liu, J.: Multivariate robust second-order stochastic dominance and resulting risk-averse optimization. Optimization 68(9), 1719–1747 (2019)
Consigli, G., Moriggia, V., Vitali, S.: Long-term individual financial planning under stochastic dominance constraints. Ann. Oper. Res. 292, 973–1000 (2020)
Consiglio, A., Carollo, A., Zenios, S.A.: A parsimonious model for generating arbitrage-free scenario trees. Quant. Finance 16(2), 201–212 (2016)
Dempster, M.A.H., Medova, E.A., Yong, Y.S.: Stochastic optimization methods in finance and energy: new financial products and energy market strategies. In: International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, vol. 163, chap. Comparison of Sampling Methods for Dynamic Stochastic programming, pp. 389–425. Springer, New York (2011)
Dentcheva, D., Ruszczyński, A.: Optimization with stochastic dominance constraints. SIAM J. Optim. 14(2), 548–566 (2003)
Dentcheva, D., Ruszczyński, A.: Portfolio optimization with stochastic dominance constraints. J. Bank. Finance 30, 433–451 (2006)
Dentcheva, D., Ruszczyński, A.: Stochastic dynamic optimization with discounted stochastic dominance constraints. SIAM J. Control. Optim. 47(5), 2540–2556 (2008)
Dentcheva, D., Ruszczyński, A., Shapiro, A.: Lectures on Stochastic Programming: Modeling and Theory. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics and Mathematical Programming Society, Philadelphia (2009)
Dupačová, J., Kopa, M.: Robustness of optimal portfolios under risk and stochastic dominance constraints. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 234(2), 434–441 (2014)
Escudero, L.F., Garín, M.A., Merino, M., Pérez, G.: On time stochastic dominance induced by mixed integer-linear recourse in multistage stochastic programs. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 249, 164–176 (2016)
Gollmer, R., Gotzes, U., Schultz, R.: A note on second-order stochastic dominance constraints induced by mixed-integer linear recourse. Math. Program. 126, 179–190 (2011)
Gülpınar, N., Rustem, B.: Worst-case robust decisions for multi-period mean-variance portfolio optimization. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 183(3), 981–1000 (2007)
Haskell, W.B., Jain, R.: Stochastic dominance-constrained Markov decision processes. SIAM J. Control. Optim. 51(1), 273–303 (2013)
Heitsch, H., Römisch, W.: Scenario tree modeling for multistage stochastic programs. Math. Program. 118(2), 371–406 (2009)
Hu, J., Homem-de-Mello, T., Mehrotra, S.: Sample average approximation of stochastic dominance constrained programs. Math. Program. 133, 171–201 (2012)
Huang, R., Qu, S., Yang, X., Liu, Z.: Multi-stage distributionally robust optimization with risk aversion. J. Ind. Manag. Optim. (2019). https://doi.org/10.3934/jimo.2019109
Kabašinskas, A., Maggioni, F., Šutienė, K., Valakevičius, E.: A multistage risk-averse stochastic programming model for personal savings accrual: the evidence from lithuania. Ann. Oper. Res. 279, 43–70 (2018)
Kaut, M., Wallace, S.W.: Shape-based scenario generation using copulas. CMS 8(1), 181–199 (2011)
Kopa, M., Moriggia, V., Vitali, S.: Individual optimal pension allocation under stochastic dominance constraints. Ann. Oper. Res. 260(1–2), 255–291 (2018)
Levy, H.: Stochastic Dominance: Investment Decision Making under Uncertainty. Springer, Cham (2006)
Luedtke, J.: New formulations for optimization under stochastic dominance constraints. SIAM J. Optim. 19(3), 1433–1450 (2008)
Mehrotra, S., Papp, D.: Generating moment matching scenarios using optimization techniques. SIAM J. Optim. 23(2), 963–999 (2013)
Meskarian, R., Xu, H., Fliege, J.: Numerical methods for stochastic programs with second order dominance constraints with applications to portfolio optimization. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 216, 376–385 (2012)
Moriggia, V., Kopa, M., Vitali, S.: Pension fund management with hedging derivatives, stochastic dominance and nodal contamination. Omega 87, 127–141 (2019)
Müller, A., Stoyan, D.: Comparison Methods for Stochastic Models and Risks. Wiley, Chichester (2002)
Noyan, N., Rudolf, G.: Optimization with multivariate conditional value-at-risk constraints. Oper. Res. 61(4), 990–1013 (2013)
Ogryczak, W., Ruszczyński, A.: On consistency of stochastic dominance and mean-semideviation models. Math. Program. 89(2), 217–232 (2001)
Petrová, B.: Multivariate stochastic dominance and its application in portfolio optimization problems. Ph.D. thesis, Charles University (2018)
Petrová, B.: Multistage portfolio optimization with multivariate dominance constraints. CMS 16, 17–46 (2019)
Pflug, G.C., Pichler, A.: Dynamic generation of scenario trees. Comput. Optim. Appl. 62(3), 641–668 (2015)
Rockafellar, R.T., Wets, R.J.B.: Variational Analysis. Springer, Berlin (2009)
Rotschedl, J., Kaderabkova, B., Čermáková, K.: Parametric discounting model of utility. Procedia Econ. Finance 30, 730–741 (2015)
Rudolf, G., Ruszczyński, A.: Optimization problems with second order stochastic dominance constraints: duality, compact formulations, and cut generation methods. SIAM J. Optim. 19(3), 1326–1343 (2008)
Ruszczyński, A., Shapiro, A.: Conditional risk mappings. Math. Oper. Res. 31(3), 544–561 (2006)
Singh, A., Dharmaraja, S.: Optimal portfolio trading subject to stochastic dominance constraints under second-order autoregressive price dynamics. Int. Trans. Oper. Res. 27(3), 1771–1803 (2020)
Sriboonchita, S., Wong, W.K., Dhompongsa, S., Nguyen, H.T.: Stochastic Dominance and Applications to Finance. Risk and Economics. Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton (2009)
Sun, H., Xu, H., Meskarian, R., Wang, Y.: Exact penalization, level function method, and modified cutting-plane method for stochastic programs with second order stochastic dominance constraints. SIAM J. Optim. 23(1), 602–631 (2013)
Šutiene, K., Makackas, D., Pranevičius, H.: Multistage K-means clustering for scenario tree construction. Informatica 21(1), 123–138 (2010)
Topaloglou, N., Vladimirou, H., Zenios, S.A.: A dynamic stochastic programming model for international portfolio management. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 185, 1501–1524 (2008)
Wirjanto, T.S., Xu, D.: The applications of mixtures of normal distributions in empirical finance: a selected survey. Citeseer (2009). http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.527.6599&rep=rep1&type=pdf
Xu, D., Chen, Z., Yang, L.: Scenario tree generation approaches using K-means and LP moment matching methods. J. Comput. Appl. Math. 236(17), 4561–4579 (2012)
Yan, Z., Chen, Z., Consigli, G., Liu, J., Jin, M.: A copula-based scenario tree generation algorithm for multiperiod portfolio selection problems. Ann. Oper. Res. (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-019-03147-9
Yang, X., Gondzio, J., Grothey, A.: Asset-liability management modelling with risk control by stochastic dominance. J. Asset Manag. 11(2–3), 73–93 (2010)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 11991023, 11901449, 11735011)
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Mei, Y., Chen, Z., Liu, J. et al. Multi-stage portfolio selection problem with dynamic stochastic dominance constraints. J Glob Optim 83, 585–613 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10898-021-01113-z
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10898-021-01113-z
Keywords
- Stochastic dominance
- Multi-stage portfolio selection
- Stochastic optimization
- Scenario tree
- Linear programming