Abstract
Anesthesia workspaces are integral components in the chains of many intraoperative bacterial transmission events resulting in surgical site infections (SSI). Matched cohort designs can be used to compare SSI rates among operating rooms (ORs) with or without capital equipment purchases (e.g., new anesthesia machines). Patients receiving care in intervention ORs (i.e., with installed capital equipment) are matched with similar patients receiving care in ORs lacking the intervention. We evaluate statistical power of an alternative design for clinical trials in which, instead, SSI incidences are compared directly among ORs (i.e., the ORs form the clusters) at single hospitals (e.g., the 5 ORs with bactericidal lights vs. the 5 other ORs). Data used for parameter estimates were SSI for 24 categories of procedures among 338 hospitals in the State of California, 2015. Estimated statistical power was ≅8.4% for detecting a reduction in the incidence of SSI from 3.6% to 2.4% over 1 year with 5 intervention ORs and 5 control ORs. For ≅80% statistical power, >20 such hospitals would be needed to complete a study in 1 year. Matched paired cluster designs pair similar ORs (e.g., 2 cardiac ORs, 1 to intervention and 1 to control). With 5 pairs, statistical power would be even less than the estimated 8.4%. Cluster designs (i.e., analyses by OR) are not suitable for comparing SSI among ORs at single hospitals. Even though matched cohort designs are non-randomized and thus have lesser validity, matching patients by their risk factors for SSI is more practical.
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Notes
These were calculated using α = 0.05 as if the 6000 patients could, in practice, be randomized to ORs [1]. Such a randomization cannot be accomplished for a host of appropriate reasons related to physical room constraints, surgeons having lists of consecutive cases to perform, urgent surgical cases needing to be completed, etc. [1]. For the STATA function, see Reference [1] Supplemental content Section #4 (e.g., at https://FDshort.com/SSIpublic).
Use of 5 ORs and a historical period with no intervention, analyzed by segmented regression, would achieve statistical power less than for ORs each with 600 patients per OR. The latter has estimated statistical power of 8.9%, only 0.5% greater than without historical data.
Functionally this would require patients to be randomized to ORs, ORs to be used interchangeably at all times, and there to be no infection transmission between successive patients in ORs. None is true [1].
For this calculation, the numerator of the effect size would be the difference, 0.036–0.024 = 0.012. The standard error ≅ (0.036 × (1–0.036) / 600 + 0.024 × (1–0.024) / 600)0.5 = 0.0098. The ratio of 0.012 / 0.0098 = 1.22.
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Dräger, Kenall Manufacturing, and the Anesthesia Patient Safety Foundation have funded studies being performed at the University of Iowa with statistical issues considered in this paper. Dr. Loftus has presented at educational meetings sponsored by Kenall Manufacturing.
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Dexter, F., Ledolter, J., Epstein, R.H. et al. Futility of Cluster Designs at Individual Hospitals to Study Surgical Site Infections and Interventions Involving the Installation of Capital Equipment in Operating Rooms. J Med Syst 44, 82 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10916-020-01555-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10916-020-01555-0