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A novel three-dimension perspective to explore technology evolution

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Abstract

In terms of technology evolution pathways, patents, articles and projects are the traditional analytical dimensions, particularly patent analysis. Analysis results based on traditional dimensions are used to present the evolutionary stage based on the theory of the technology life cycle (TLC). However, traditional TLC is insufficient to explain the inner driving force of technology evolution; instead, it just describes the process. Promoting ideality degree, one of evolutionary principles in the framework of Teoriya Resheniya Izobreatatelskikh Zadatch, is combined with patent and article analysis, and then a novel three-dimensional analytical method is introduced. In a case study with one curial material and novel technology, graphene attracted the attention of all types of organizations, but the development prospects of the graphene industry are not clear, and its potential abilities and applications should be deeply explored.

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Acknowledgments

This paper is partly supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. 2013XMS03), the Soft Science Research Project (No. 2013B070206020); and Guangdong Province Key Laboratory Open Foundation (No. 2011A06090100101B).

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Correspondence to Munan Li.

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Li, M. A novel three-dimension perspective to explore technology evolution. Scientometrics 105, 1679–1697 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1591-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-015-1591-9

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