Skip to main content
Log in

Research on Derek John de Solla Price Medal Prediction Based on Academic Credit Analysis

  • Published:
Scientometrics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

To find a more effective method for evaluating the achievements of individual scholars, this study proposes a Dh-index analysis method from experts’ perspective under the guidance of concept of Academic Credit Evaluation. This method inherits the advantages of traditional h-index and analyses the information valued by experts for the purpose of finding high impact scholars with a lower cost. Using Dh-index analysis method to calculate Dh-index and Dg-index, the study identified a list about scholars’ academic status under the perspective of experts. Indices used in the method were listed in descending order by researching citations between 2000 and 2016 in Scientometrics and Journal of Informetrics during the process. In order to support the conclusions obtained from this method and test the feasibility and effectiveness of this method, we use Derek John de Solla Price Medal (DJSP Medal) as an example. The method simulates the selection process of DJSP Medal and the result is highly in accordance with the actual DJSP Medal winners, which proves that the method mentioned in this article is valid and might be used to predict potential winners. Citation behaviours can reflect some endogenous customs in academic communication, and can be used as effective signals to evaluate the status of scholars in their field. Hence, based on domain experts’ citation behaviours, Dh-index analysis method can effectively combine qualitative and quantitative evaluation techniques. With less manpower, lower cost, simpler manipulation, more robustness and other advantages, the method can not only acquire valuable reference information, but also predict potential winners of DJSP Medal and other academic awards.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Anderson, T. R., Hankin, R. K. S., & Killworth, P. D. (2008). Beyond the Durfee square: Enhancing h-index to score total publication output. Scientometrics, 76(3), 577–588.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bihari, A., & Tripathi, S. (2017). Em-index: A new measure to evaluate the scientific impact of scientists. Scientometrics, 112(1), 659–677.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bornmann, L. (2014). Do altmetrics point to the broader impact of research? An overview of benefits and disadvantages of altmetrics. Journal of Informetrics, 8(4), 895–903.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bornmann, L., & Daniel, H. D. (2008). Are there better indices for evaluation purposes than the h, index? A comparison of nine different variants of the h, index using data from biomedicine. New York: Wiley.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Bornmann, L., & Haunschild, R. (2018). Do altmetrics correlate with the quality of papers? A large-scale empirical study based on f1000prime data. PLoS ONE, 13(5), e0197133.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cronin, B., & Shaw, D. (2002). Identity-creators and image-makers: Using citation analysis and thick description to put authors in their place. Scientometrics, 54(1), 31–49.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dong, Y., Johnson, R. A., & Chawla, N. V. (2016). Can scientific impact be predicted? IEEE Transactions on Big Data, 2(1), 18–30.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Egghe, L. (2006). Theory and practise of the g-index. Scientometrics, 69(1), 131–152.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Egghe, L., & Rousseau, R. (2008). An h-index weighted by citation impact. Information Processing and Management, 44(2), 770–780.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Garfield, E. (1990). Who will win the Nobel Prize in economics? Here’s a forecast based on citation indicators. Current Comments, 11, 3–7.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gingras, Y., & Wallace, M. L. (2010). Why it has become more difficult to predict nobel prize winners: A bibliometric analysis of nominees and winners of the chemistry and physics prizes (1901–2007). Scientometrics, 82(2), 401–412.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hell, S. W., Lindek, S., & Stelzer, E. H. K. (1994). Enhancing the axial resolution in far-field light microscopy: Two-photon 4pi confocal fluorescence microscopy. Journal of Modern Optics, 41(4), 675–681.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirsch, J. E. (2005). An index to quantify an individual’s scientific research output. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 102(46), 16569–16572.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Jiang, C., & Wang, W. (2013). A quantitative analysis of scholarly attainment of péter vinkler as the winner of the 2009 derek john de solla price medal. Science & Technology Management Research, 33(12), 238–241.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jin, B. H., Liang, L. M., & Rousseau, R., et al., (2007). The R- and AR-indices: Complementing h-index. Chinese Science Bulletin, 52(6), 855–863.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu, S. V. (2005). Nobel prize-winning original publications’ under performance in making citation glory. Logical Biology, 5(4), 29–305.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nabout, J. C., Teresa, F. B., Machado, K. B., Prado, V. H. M. D., & Bini, L. M. (2018). Do traditional scientometric indicators predict social media activity on scientific knowledge? An analysis of the ecological literature. Scientometrics, 115(2), 1007–1015.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pan, Y. N., & Tan, J. (2012). A study on scientific collaboration networks of price medalists. Library and Information Service, 56(16), 80–84.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pendlebury, D.J. (2008). Successful predictions looking back at previous year’s choices: Do Citation Laureates Become Nobel Prize winners? http://www.thomsonscienlific.com.cn. Accessed 15 July 2017.

  • Todeschini, R. (2011). The j-index: A new bibliometric index and multivariate comparisons between other common indices. Scientometrics, 87(3), 621–639.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tol, R. S. J. (2009). H-index and its alternatives: An application to the 100 most prolific economists. Scientometrics, 80(2), 317–324.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wan, X., & Liu, F. (2014). Wl-index: Leveraging citation mention number to quantify an individual’s scientific impact. Journal of the Association for Information Science & Technology, 65(12), 2509–2517.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • White, H. D. (2001). Authors as citers over time. Journal of the Association for Information Science & Technology, 52(2), 87–108.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wu, Q. (2010). The w-index: A measure to assess scientific impact by focusing on widely cited papers. New York: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yan, E., & Ding, Y. (2011). Discovering author impact: A PageRank perspective. Information Processing and Management, 47(1), 125–134.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, C., Ding, K., & Wang, B. (2013). Introduction and comments on scholarly attainment of Blaise Cronin as the Winner of the 2013 Derek John de Solla Price Medal: Based on the Scientometrics View. Library and Information Service, 57(24), 132–139.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhou, C. L. (2010a). Citation recommendation analysis: A new citation analysis approach. Journal of the China Society for Scientific and Technical Information, 29(4), 671–678.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhou, C. L. (2010b). Research on H-index-based Academic Credit Evaluation. Wuhan: Wuhan University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhou, C. L. (2010c). Study on large-scale h-index extracting approach. Journal of the China Society for Scientific and Technical Information, 29(1), 100–107.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhou, C. L. (2016). Academic credit evaluation and application. Beijing: Science Press.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work is supported by Foundation of He’nan Educational Committee (2017-15) and Social Science Fund of He’nan (2017BZH008). The authors would like to acknowledge the helpful comments on the earlier manuscript by anonymous reviewers.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zhou Chunlei.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Chunlei, Z., Xiangyi, K. & Zhipeng, L. Research on Derek John de Solla Price Medal Prediction Based on Academic Credit Analysis. Scientometrics 118, 159–175 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-018-2964-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-018-2964-7

Keywords

Navigation