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Estimating Conditional Chances and Evaluating Counterfactuals

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Abstract

The paper addresses a puzzle about the probabilistic evaluation of counterfactuals, raised by Ernest Adams as a problem for his own theory. I discuss Brian Skyrms’s response to the puzzle. I compare this puzzle with other puzzles about counterfactuals that have arisen more recently. And I attempt to solve the puzzle in a way that is consistent with Adams’s proposal about counterfactuals.

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  1. Department of Philosophy, Birkbeck College, University of London, Malet Street, London, WC1E 7HX, UK

    Dorothy Edgington

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  1. Dorothy Edgington
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Correspondence to Dorothy Edgington.

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Edgington, D. Estimating Conditional Chances and Evaluating Counterfactuals. Stud Logica 102, 691–707 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11225-013-9514-3

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11225-013-9514-3

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